Investment Highlights - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a demand realization phase, with low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations becoming the core driver. The transition from planning to implementation of LEO communication constellations is expected to create a long-term and continuous demand curve for rocket launches, satellite manufacturing, and related systems [8][20][21] - The industry focus is shifting from "capability" to "stable, high-frequency, and low-cost delivery," benefiting companies with engineering and large-scale delivery capabilities [8][20] - The industry chain structure shows clear logic, with upstream manufacturing and midstream launch services exhibiting significant elasticity. Upstream components such as rocket manufacturing and satellite platforms are foundational, while midstream commercial launch services are critical for the successful advancement of satellite constellations [8][27][34] Policy-Driven Growth - Recent policies have intensified support for the commercial aerospace industry, integrating it into national space development plans and encouraging private sector participation in satellite manufacturing and launch services [15][17][18] - Local governments are also implementing supportive policies, with Beijing aiming for large-scale satellite construction by 2028 and Guangdong targeting a commercial aerospace industry scale of 300 billion yuan by 2026 [16][18] Industry Chain Overview - The upstream segment includes rocket manufacturing, satellite platform and complete satellite manufacturing, and core component supply, which are essential for the safety, reliability, and scalability of the entire industry chain [27][31] - The midstream segment is characterized by the emergence of commercial launch services, which are becoming a key constraint for the successful deployment of satellite constellations. The focus is shifting towards the ability to deliver at controlled costs and stable frequencies [34][35] - The downstream segment is evolving towards smaller, more integrated satellite communication modules and terminal devices, expanding into various applications such as emergency communication and remote monitoring [38][40] Key Companies in the North Exchange - Star Map Control is a leading company in commercial aerospace measurement and control services, focusing on providing full lifecycle management and digital simulation for satellites. The company has developed an AI-based control system capable of managing large-scale satellite constellations [41][42] - Tianli Composite specializes in layered metal composite materials and has established itself as a leader in the domestic market, with a strong focus on high-end applications in aerospace and nuclear industries [46][47] - Fujida is a high-tech enterprise focusing on RF coaxial connectors and related products, with a strong presence in the aerospace and commercial satellite sectors, and is actively expanding into new applications [49][50] Investment Recommendations - The commercial aerospace sector is characterized by long industry cycles and clear demand sources, making it suitable for medium to long-term investment perspectives. Companies with strong engineering capabilities, scalable manufacturing, and mature business models are expected to benefit from increased launch frequencies and order volumes [53]
北交所专题报告:迈向星辰大海
Dongguan Securities·2025-12-31 09:25