Quectel(SH:603236) Dongguan Securities·2025-12-31 13:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company is a global leader in IoT solutions, focusing on wireless communication modules and solutions, and is well-positioned to benefit from the growth in AI and 5G technologies [6][14] - The global IoT connection numbers are expected to grow significantly, with projections of reaching 2.97 billion connections by 2027, indicating a vast market potential [6][46] - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a projected increase in EPS to 3.78 and 4.84 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, reflecting a robust business model [6][28] Summary by Sections 1. Technology and Market Position - The company has established itself as a key player in the IoT ecosystem, providing comprehensive solutions that include wireless communication modules, antennas, and IoT software platforms [14][18] - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with multiple research centers globally, enhancing its capability to innovate and meet diverse market needs [15][18] 2. Market Growth and Demand - The demand for IoT modules is driven by the increasing number of connected devices and the integration of AI applications, with a forecasted compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.4% for the global IoT market from 2022 to 2027 [46][50] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of AIoT and edge computing, which are expected to drive significant demand for AI-enabled hardware [62][66] 3. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 112.62 billion yuan in 2021 to 185.94 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 18.19% [28][30] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 178.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.96%, and a net profit of 7.33 billion yuan, up 105.65% [28][30] 4. R&D and Innovation - The company has consistently increased its R&D expenditure, reaching 13.94 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, which represents 7.80% of its revenue [34][35] - The number of R&D personnel has also grown significantly, indicating a strong commitment to innovation and product development [34][35] 5. Competitive Landscape - The company maintains a leading position in the global IoT module market, with significant market share in both domestic and international markets [59] - Competitors include China Mobile and SIMCom, but the company continues to outperform in terms of innovation and market presence [59]