Report Summary 1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For industrial silicon, attention should be paid to the production - cut rhythm of upstream factories [1]. - For polysilicon, it will fluctuate within a range, and attention should be paid to market fluctuations [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures Market Data: - Industrial silicon (Si2605): The closing price was 8,915 yuan/ton, with a change of 200 yuan compared to T - 1, 135 yuan compared to T - 5, and - 215 yuan compared to T - 22. The trading volume was 366,201 lots, and the open interest was 216,220 lots [2]. - Polysilicon (PS2605): The closing price was 57,890 yuan/ton, with a change of 1,390 yuan compared to T - 1 and - 1,335 yuan compared to T - 5 [2]. - Basis Data: - Industrial silicon: The spot premium/discount varied when对标 different grades. For example, when对标ing East China Si5530, it was + 335 yuan/ton [2]. - Polysilicon: When对标ing N - type re - investment material, the spot premium/discount was - 5,890 yuan/ton [2]. - Price Data: - Industrial silicon: The price of Xinjiang 99 - silicon was 8,700 yuan/ton, and the price of Yunnan Si4210 was 10,000 yuan/ton [2]. - Polysilicon: The price of N - type re - investment material was 52,500 yuan/ton [2]. - Profit Data: - Industrial silicon: The profit of silicon plants in Xinjiang (new standard 553) was - 2,411.5 yuan/ton, and in Yunnan (new standard 553) it was - 4,719 yuan/ton [2]. - Polysilicon: The profit of polysilicon enterprises was 8.2 yuan/kg [2]. - Inventory Data: - Industrial silicon: The social inventory (including warehouse - receipt inventory) was 55.5 million tons, the enterprise inventory was 19.6 million tons, and the industry inventory was 75.1 million tons [2]. - Polysilicon: The manufacturer's inventory was 30.3 million tons [2]. - Raw Material Cost Data: - Industrial silicon: The price of silicon ore in Xinjiang was 320 yuan/ton, and in Yunnan it was 250 yuan/ton [2]. - Other raw materials: The prices of washed coking coal, petroleum coke, electrodes, etc. were also provided [2]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News On December 19, the completion ceremony of the deep - treatment project of the ore - heating furnace flue gas of Sichuan Fuxing New Materials Co., Ltd. was held, aiming at green transformation and high - quality regional development [2]. 3.3 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of industrial silicon was 0, and that of polysilicon was also 0, indicating a neutral outlook. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [4].
工业硅:关注上游工厂减产节奏,多晶硅:区间震荡,关注行情波动
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-12-31 01:54