Guohai Securities·2026-01-03 13:33Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the wind power sector is expected to break the cyclical pattern and maintain growth in 2026, driven by both onshore and offshore wind energy expansion globally, with a focus on green energy applications [10][12] - The report identifies four main investment themes for 2026: 1) Resonance of policies between China and Europe for offshore wind, 2) Green energy catalyzing non-electric utilization, 3) Profitability elasticity of major manufacturers, and 4) Sustained demand in the components sector [10][16] Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2025, the wind power sector faced cyclical pressures, but by the third quarter, the relative advantages of wind power became more pronounced due to policy impacts on the electricity market and non-electric utilization, leading to a projected double-digit growth in installed capacity for 2026 [10][20] - The report forecasts that installed capacity for onshore and offshore wind in 2026 will reach approximately 110 GW and 10 GW respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 10% and 25% [20][41] Group 2: Key Companies and Profitability Forecasts - The report highlights several key companies with investment ratings, including: - Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ) with a buy rating and projected EPS growth from 0.42 in 2024 to 1.16 in 2026 [7] - Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) also rated as buy, with EPS expected to rise from 1.47 in 2024 to 3.03 in 2026 [7] - New Strong Link (300850.SZ) rated as buy, with EPS projected to increase from 0.18 in 2024 to 2.92 in 2026 [7] - The profitability of major manufacturers is expected to improve significantly, with the average bidding price for main units increasing by 7.4% in 2025, and a high proportion of high-price orders expected to continue into 2026 [10][13] Group 3: Offshore Wind Development - The report notes that both Europe and China are emerging from a low point in offshore wind development, with a significant increase in project approvals and construction expected to drive growth in 2026 [10][56] - The offshore wind policy in China is evolving, with a focus on deep-sea technology and a significant number of projects expected to be initiated, which will enhance demand for high-voltage cables and other components [10][56] Group 4: Component Sector Dynamics - The demand for wind turbine components is projected to remain strong, with expectations of over 20,000 turbines needed annually during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, indicating a recovery from previous supply chain constraints [10][44] - The report suggests that component manufacturers will benefit from increased capacity utilization and the introduction of new technologies, with specific companies recommended for investment, including New Strong Link and Delijia [10][13]