供需起势，链动未来：迎接人形机器人的产业浪潮

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the humanoid robot industry, anticipating significant growth and development leading up to 2025, which is viewed as the "year of mass production" for humanoid robots [1]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing a surge in demand driven by factors such as aging population and labor shortages, with a diverse market landscape emerging as leading companies accelerate production [1][4]. - The industry is transitioning from concept validation to large-scale pilot projects, with notable increases in orders and contracts for humanoid robots across various sectors [8][9]. - The integration of advanced technologies, including AI and embodied intelligence, is enhancing the capabilities of humanoid robots, making them suitable for complex and diverse applications [9][14]. Policy Environment - Continuous policy support is fostering high-quality development in the humanoid robot industry, with initiatives aimed at encouraging innovation and application across various sectors [2][3]. - Key government documents outline goals for establishing an innovation system and achieving mass production of humanoid robots by 2025, emphasizing the importance of technological breakthroughs and ecosystem development [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The aging population in China is projected to reach 220 million by 2024, accounting for 15.64% of the total population, which is intensifying the demand for humanoid robots to address labor shortages [4]. - The labor force in China is declining, with the working-age population decreasing from 1.01 billion in 2013 to 966 million in 2024, leading to increased labor costs and a pressing need for automation [4]. Application Expansion - The application fields for humanoid robots are expanding, moving towards personalized and complex high-value scenarios, with significant penetration in industrial manufacturing, commercial services, and potential household applications [6][7][14]. - Humanoid robots are expected to evolve from basic tasks in industrial settings to more sophisticated roles in quality inspection, maintenance, and personal assistance in domestic environments [7][14]. Industry Structure - The supply chain for humanoid robots in China is well-established, with advancements in hardware components and a focus on software innovation being critical for scaling production [12][13]. - The industry comprises upstream components, midstream manufacturing, and downstream applications, with a strong emphasis on achieving autonomy and intelligence in robot functionality [12][13]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that humanoid robots will evolve into "general tools" for various applications, with the consumer market expected to become a significant growth driver as technology matures and costs decrease [14]. - The integration of "big brain" and "small brain" technologies is crucial for overcoming current challenges and achieving widespread adoption of humanoid robots in both commercial and personal settings [14].