元旦总结:消费结构性亮眼,白酒变革、大众品推新
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2026-01-04 10:04

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for selected stocks within the sector [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a structural improvement in consumer spending, particularly in the liquor and mass-market product segments, with a strong recovery in consumption during the New Year holiday [1][2]. - The focus is on the market transformation of Moutai, which aims to enhance its market presence and adapt to consumer demands, while also emphasizing the importance of supply-side improvements and dividend strategies for long-term investments [3]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - Moutai has initiated a market-oriented transformation, focusing on a consumer-centric approach and enhancing its product portfolio, including a pyramid structure for product offerings [3]. - The report suggests investing in both supply-side improvements and long-term leaders like Moutai and Wuliangye, with a positive outlook for gradual demand recovery in 2026 [3]. Mass-Market Products - The report notes a robust recovery in consumer spending during the New Year holiday, with significant growth in dining and dairy products, indicating a clear upward trend in both volume and price [1][2]. - Key companies to watch include Yili, Anjuke Foods, and Qingdao Beer, which are expected to benefit from this recovery [1]. Beer and Beverage Sector - The craft beer segment has seen over 100% growth in sales, while fruit-flavored beers have increased by over 70%, reflecting a trend among younger consumers [4]. - New product launches, such as the 1L juice from Uni-President, are positioned to attract consumers with competitive pricing and quality [4]. Consumer Behavior - The report emphasizes the high engagement in experiential consumption during the holiday season, with travel and shopping activities showing significant year-on-year growth [2][7]. - The report also highlights the impact of government-issued consumption vouchers in stimulating retail sales across major cities [7].