工业硅、碳酸锂期货品种周报-20260104

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Industrial silicon futures are currently in a volatile state, and it is advisable to adopt a wait - and - see approach. Lithium carbonate futures are on the rise, and it is recommended to buy on dips [8][33][34] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon Futures 1. Mid - line Market Analysis - Industrial silicon futures are in a volatile run. Last week, the spot price of industrial silicon remained stable. As of January 4, the price of 421 in Xinjiang was 9,050 yuan/ton, in Yunnan was 9,900 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan was 10,000 yuan/ton. The AI intelligent investment consultation variety diagnosis report of Great Wall Futures shows that the daily price of industrial silicon is in a sideways phase, and the main force shows a strong bearish sentiment [8] - The mid - line strategy suggestion is to wait and see [9] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week, the industrial silicon 2605 contract fluctuated in the range of 8,000 - 9,500 yuan/ton. This week, the main contract of industrial silicon is expected to fluctuate in the range of 8,000 - 9,500 yuan/ton [12] 3. Relevant Data Situation - As of April 19, 2024, the cathode copper inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 300,045 tons, an increase of 322 tons from the previous week. Seasonally, the current inventory is at a relatively high level compared to the past five years [14] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME copper inventory was 122,125 tons, and the proportion of cancelled warrants was 25.73%. Seasonally, the current inventory is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [18] Lithium Carbonate Futures 1. Mid - line Market Analysis - Lithium carbonate futures are currently on the rise. Last week, the spot price of lithium carbonate declined slightly. As of January 4, the market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 117,250 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 114,850 yuan/ton. The AI intelligent investment consultation variety diagnosis report of Great Wall Futures shows that the daily line of lithium carbonate futures is in a strong upward stage, and the main force shows a strong bullish sentiment [33][34] - The mid - line strategy suggestion is to buy on dips as the bottom of lithium carbonate is rising [34] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week, the bottom of lithium carbonate rose, and the main 2605 contract should pay attention to the support in the range of 96,000 - 97,000 yuan. This week, the main contract should pay attention to the support in the range of 100,000 - 105,000 yuan [37][38] 3. Relevant Data Situation - As of April 19, 2024, the electrolytic aluminum inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 228,537 tons, a decrease of 3,228 tons from the previous week. Seasonally, the current inventory is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [41] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME aluminum inventory was 504,000 tons, and the proportion of cancelled warrants was 66.03%. Seasonally, the current inventory is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [43]