26年元旦假期点评：免税、景区表现靓丽

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant recovery in domestic tourism during the 2026 New Year holiday, with 142 million domestic trips, a 5.2% increase compared to the 2024 New Year holiday, and reaching 115% of the 2019 level [6][14] - Total domestic travel expenditure reached 84.789 billion yuan, up 6.3% from the 2024 New Year holiday, recovering to 112% of the 2019 level [6][14] - The average spending per person was 597 yuan, a 1.1% increase from the 2024 New Year holiday, recovering to 97% of the 2019 level [6][14] - There was a notable increase in passenger transport volume, with significant growth in waterway and highway transport [14] - Scenic spots such as Huangshan, Changbai Mountain, and Danxia Mountain saw substantial visitor increases, with ticket bookings for domestic scenic spots increasing over four times year-on-year [16] - Duty-free sales in Hainan experienced rapid growth, with 442,000 items sold, a 52.4% increase, and shopping revenue reaching 712 million yuan, up 128.9% [22] - Cross-border travel demand surged, with 6.615 million people entering and exiting the country, a 28.6% increase [26] - Retail sales in key business districts showed strong consumer vitality, with total sales reaching 4.04 billion yuan, a 16.3% year-on-year increase [34] Summary by Sections Domestic Tourism - Domestic travel during the 2026 New Year holiday reached 142 million trips, a 5.2% increase from 2024, and 115% of the 2019 level [6] - Total expenditure was 84.789 billion yuan, a 6.3% increase from 2024, recovering to 112% of the 2019 level [6] Scenic Spots - Significant visitor growth at scenic spots, with Huangshan, Changbai Mountain, and Danxia Mountain seeing increases of 76%, 66%, and 81% respectively compared to 2024 [16][18] Duty-Free - Hainan's duty-free sales reached 712 million yuan, a 128.9% increase, with 442,000 items sold, reflecting a 52.4% growth [22] Cross-Border Travel - Cross-border travel reached 6.615 million people, a 28.6% increase compared to the previous year [26] Retail - Retail sales in Beijing's key business districts totaled 4.04 billion yuan, with a 16.3% year-on-year increase [34] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the travel chain, including hotels (e.g., Shoulv Hotel, Jinjiang Hotel), scenic spots (e.g., Three Gorges Tourism, Huangshan Tourism), and OTA (e.g., Ctrip Group) [35] - In the retail sector, it recommends focusing on duty-free (e.g., China Duty Free Group, Wangfujing) and retail department stores (e.g., Chongqing Department Store, He Bai Group) [35]