Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-01-04 14:58Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the cosmetics and medical beauty industry [2]. Core Insights - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector outperformed the market, with the Shenwan Beauty Care Index rising by 0.2% from December 26 to December 31, 2025, while the Shenwan Cosmetics Index increased by 1.0% [4][5]. - Lin Qingxuan successfully completed its IPO on December 30, 2025, attracting significant investor attention. The company, founded in 2003, reported a revenue growth from 690 million yuan in 2022 to 1.21 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.7% [4][10]. - Upward confidence in the company is reflected in the share buyback by senior management at Shangmei Co., with a total of 835,900 shares purchased in December 2025, amounting to approximately 66.32 million HKD [4][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector showed strong performance, with the Shenwan Beauty Care Index increasing by 0.2% during the specified period, outperforming the market [4][5]. - The top-performing stocks included Yanjiang Co. (+14.3%), Shuiyang Co. (+9.5%), and Qingsong Co. (+7.0%), while Shangmei Co. saw a decline of 18.6% [6]. Key Company Updates - Lin Qingxuan's IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was a significant event, marking it as a leading high-end domestic skincare brand. The company has a strong market presence with a focus on camellia oil-based products [4][10]. - Shangmei Co. demonstrated management confidence through share buybacks, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [4][10]. E-commerce and AI Integration - The report highlights the robust foundation of the e-commerce agency business, particularly for companies like Yiwan Yichuang, which is leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiency and performance [11][12]. - The e-commerce agency sector is experiencing a resurgence, driven by increased demand for brand representation on platforms like Alibaba [12][13]. Market Data - The retail sales of cosmetics in China for the first eleven months of 2025 reached 428.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [16]. - The report indicates that the market for PDRN components is expected to reach 285 million USD globally by 2029, with China projected to capture 34% of this market [21]. Competitive Landscape - The domestic skincare market is becoming increasingly competitive, with local brands gaining market share against international competitors. The report notes that local brands now occupy five of the top ten positions in market share [24]. - The report anticipates that the trend of domestic brands gaining market share will continue, particularly in the context of rising consumer preference for local products [24].