行业景气度系列十:去库延续,需求仍待改善
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2026-01-05 01:16

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints Manufacturing - Overall: In December, the manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 57.6%, with a change of 37.3%. Four industries had their manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 4 less than the previous month and 3 less than the same period last year [4]. - Supply: Slightly declined. The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI production index in December was 50.5, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, while 10 industries declined [4]. - Demand: Still needed improvement. The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 49.6, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Three industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 12 industries declined [4]. - Inventory: Continued destocking. The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI finished - goods inventory in December remained flat at 47.9. Five industries saw inventory increase, and 10 industries saw inventory decrease [4]. Non - Manufacturing - Overall: In December, the non - manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 22.0%, with a change of 10.2%. Eleven industries had their non - manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 5 more than the previous month and 1 more than the same period last year [5]. - Supply: Employment remained at a low level. The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI employee index in December was 45.5, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Both the service and construction sectors increased by 0.4 percentage points [5]. - Demand: Still needed improvement. The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 46.3, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service sector's new orders increased by 0.2 percentage points, and the construction sector's new orders increased by 1.7 percentage points [5]. - Inventory: Continued destocking. The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI inventory in December was 45.3, with no change from the previous month. The service sector's inventory remained unchanged, and the construction sector's inventory increased by 0.8 percentage points [5]. Summary by Directory Overview - Manufacturing PMI: In December, the manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 57.6%, with a change of 37.3%. Four industries had their manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 4 less than the previous month and 3 less than the same period last year [10]. - Non - Manufacturing PMI: In December, the non - manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 22.0%, with a change of 10.2%. Eleven industries had their non - manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 5 more than the previous month and 1 more than the same period last year [10]. Demand - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 49.6, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Three industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 12 industries declined. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 46.3, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service sector's new orders increased by 0.2 percentage points, and the construction sector's new orders increased by 1.7 percentage points. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 10 industries declined. Pay attention to the improvement in textiles and pharmaceuticals and the decline in petroleum [16]. Supply - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI production index in December was 50.5, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 10 industries declined. The manufacturing PMI employee index in December was 48.3, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 10 industries declined. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI employee index in December was 45.5, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service and construction sectors both increased by 0.4 percentage points. Eleven industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 3 industries declined. Pay attention to the decline in non - ferrous metals and农副食品 and the improvement in ferrous metals [25]. Price - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI ex - factory price index in December was 48.2, a 0.2 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Seven industries saw their ex - factory prices improve, and 8 industries declined. In terms of profit, the profit trend in December increased by 0.4 percentage points, and the overall continued to converge. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing charge price index in December was 48.3, a 0.2 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service sector increased by 0.3 percentage points, and the construction sector decreased by 0.2 percentage points. Eight industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 7 industries declined. In terms of profit, the profit in December remained unchanged. The service sector decreased by 0.1 percentage points, and the construction sector increased by 0.5 percentage points. Pay attention to the improvement in non - ferrous metals and the decline in petroleum [34]. Inventory - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI finished - goods inventory in December remained flat at 47.9. Five industries saw inventory increase, and 10 industries saw inventory decrease. The manufacturing PMI raw - material inventory in November decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 47.5. Seven industries saw inventory increase, and 8 industries saw inventory decrease. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI inventory in December was 45.3, with no change from the previous month. The service sector's inventory remained unchanged, and the construction sector's inventory increased by 0.8 percentage points. Five industries saw inventory increase, and 10 industries saw inventory decrease. Pay attention to the destocking of non - metallic products and the increase in construction inventory [42]. Main Manufacturing Industry PMI Charts - The report provides data on the PMI of various manufacturing industries, including general equipment, special equipment, automobiles, computers, motors, pharmaceuticals,农副食品, textiles, non - ferrous metals, petroleum, chemicals, ferrous metals, non - metallic products, metal products, and chemical fiber and rubber products, showing values, month - on - month changes, three - year averages, and year - on - year changes [53][54][57][58][59][66][67][68].