申万宏源证券晨会报告-20260105
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-01-05 05:26

Core Insights - The report highlights Nanshan Aluminum (600219) as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, emphasizing its dividend and buyback strategies as indicators of confidence in future performance [2][9][11] - The report also covers Hanhigh Group (001221), which is positioned as a high-growth company focusing on cost reduction and brand strength to create high-end cost-performance products [10][12] Nanshan Aluminum (600219) Summary - Expected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected at 5.0 billion, 5.46 billion, and 5.84 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 11, and 10 times [3][11] - The company is anticipated to benefit from the expansion of alumina production in Indonesia, which will enhance its performance due to cost advantages [11] - The report assigns a target P/E of 13 times for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price [3][11] - The company has a production capacity of 680,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, with expectations for aluminum prices to rise in 2026 due to a slowdown in global supply growth [11] Hanhigh Group (001221) Summary - Revenue projections for Hanhigh Group are set at 3.595 billion, 4.525 billion, and 5.653 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with net profits of 706 million, 942 million, and 1.237 billion yuan respectively [10][14] - The company is expected to maintain a lower valuation compared to its peers, with P/E ratios of 33, 24, and 19 times for the respective years [10][14] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction strategies and a focus on high-quality, high-performance products, which have gained market recognition [12][14] Investment Recommendations - Both Nanshan Aluminum and Hanhigh Group are given "Outperform" ratings, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance relative to the market [3][10] - The report suggests that Nanshan Aluminum's unique position in the electrolytic aluminum market and Hanhigh Group's strong growth trajectory make them attractive investment opportunities [2][10]