环保行业跟踪周报:资本开支下降、国补加速固废红利价值凸显,龙净电动矿车交付,景津底部反转+成长-20260105
Soochow Securities·2026-01-05 06:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the dual drivers of improved cash flow in the waste incineration sector due to decreased capital expenditure and accelerated national subsidies [9][10] - The State Council's issuance of the "Solid Waste Comprehensive Treatment Action Plan" is expected to benefit resource recycling and solid waste management industries [15][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for dividend increases in the waste incineration sector, projecting a rise in dividend potential from 114% to 141% due to improved cash flow and subsidy recovery [13][12] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection industry is experiencing a significant increase in cash flow and dividend potential due to reduced capital expenditures and improved national subsidy recovery [9][10] - The waste incineration sector is projected to see a substantial improvement in cash flow, with a notable increase in national subsidy recovery rates [10][11] Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Huanlan Environment, Longjing Environmental Protection, and Green Power for their dividend potential and growth prospects [3][13] - It also suggests monitoring companies like Weiming Environmental and Sanfeng Environment for their overseas growth strategies [3][13] Policy Tracking - The "Solid Waste Comprehensive Treatment Action Plan" sets clear targets for solid waste utilization by 2030, which is expected to drive growth in the resource recycling sector [15][16] - The report notes that the plan includes measures to improve the commercial model for waste management, which will benefit the industry [16][17] Company Highlights - Longjing Environmental Protection has successfully connected its second phase of the solar storage project in Guyana and delivered its first electric mining truck, marking a significant step in green mining [21][24] - Jingjin Equipment, a leader in filter press manufacturing, is expected to benefit from the recovery in the lithium battery sector and overseas expansion [27][28] Market Performance - The report indicates that the environmental protection sector is poised for growth, driven by increased demand for waste management and recycling solutions [30][31] - The report also highlights the expected recovery in cash flow for water service companies, which could mirror the trends seen in the waste incineration sector [31]