Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-01-05 06:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the brokerage sector, suggesting it has good upward momentum for 2026, while the insurance sector is viewed as having systemic value reassessment opportunities [4][30]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector is expected to benefit from improved chip structure, reduced turnover rates, and a limited downside in current valuations. The sector is also positioned for increased public fund allocations due to its relative performance and high index weight [4]. - The insurance sector is projected to experience a decline in premium income growth due to the impact of policy changes and market conditions, but new business growth is anticipated to drive net profit value (NBV) growth, particularly for leading companies [4][30]. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,629.94 with a decline of 0.59%, while the non-bank index fell by 1.84% to 2,054.14. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported declines of 1.37%, 3.33%, and 1.37% respectively [8][10]. - As of December 31, 2025, the average daily trading volume in the stock market was 21,283.52 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.29% compared to the previous period [19]. Key Data - As of December 31, 2025, the total assets of the insurance industry reached 40.64 trillion yuan, with life insurance companies holding 35.75 trillion yuan and property insurance companies holding 3.15 trillion yuan [30]. - The financing balance in the brokerage sector was reported at 25,552.84 billion yuan, marking a 37% increase from the end of 2024 [19]. Sector News - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has implemented new rules for commercial real estate REITs, allowing various types of commercial properties to be financed through public REITs [20]. - The CSRC has also finalized the regulations for public fund sales fees, which are expected to reduce the overall fee levels by approximately 20%, saving investors around 51 billion yuan annually [21].