GF SECURITIES·2026-01-05 06:45Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The New Year holiday travel showed strong growth, with a total of 803 million people traveling across regions from December 31, 2025, to January 3, 2026, averaging 201 million people per day, a year-on-year increase of 19.75%. The total passenger transport volume reached 209 million, with a daily average of 52 million, up 31.1% year-on-year [4][7] - The aviation sector experienced both volume and price increases, with daily flight numbers averaging 14,900 during the holiday, a 2.9% increase compared to 2025 and a 13.2% increase compared to 2019. The average ticket price for domestic economy class reached 684.6 CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [4][9] - The railway and waterway transport sectors outperformed the market, with year-on-year growth rates of 54.5% and 32.7%, respectively, during the holiday period [4][7] Summary by Sections Holiday Travel Data - Total national passenger transport volume reached 20,943.4 million, with a year-on-year growth of 31.1% [7] - Railway passenger transport volume was 6,476.9 million, with a year-on-year growth of 54.5% [7] - Road passenger transport volume was 13,374 million, with a year-on-year growth of 23.2% [7] - Waterway passenger transport volume was 287.4 million, with a year-on-year growth of 32.7% [7] - Civil aviation passenger transport volume was 805.1 million, with a year-on-year growth of 13.1% [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on airlines with stable volume growth and improving prices, specifically mentioning Hainan Airlines, China National Aviation Holding, and Spring Airlines [4] - In the railway sector, it highlights the growth potential of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway due to increased capacity and network effects [4]