城投公司化债跟踪：成效持续显现，压力犹存

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Core Viewpoint of the Report In 2025, the number of new debt - resolution policies has significantly slowed down, with the focus shifting to policy implementation to consolidate debt - resolution achievements. In the first half of 2025, the debt scale of urban investment companies continued to grow but at a slower pace, the debt term structure improved, and the financing structure was optimized. However, some urban investment companies still faced relatively large liquidity pressures, and regional differentiation was further evident. Looking forward, urban investment companies still face the pressure to deepen market - oriented transformation to achieve a new dynamic balance between serving regional economic development and consolidating debt stability [2][39]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Policy Environment Change - Since 2023, a series of debt - resolution policies have been introduced, with 2023 and 2024 seeing relatively frequent policy releases. In 2025, the focus shifted to implementation and consolidation of achievements. The core of these policies is to resolve existing debts, control new debts, promote the exit and transformation of financing platforms, and seek development [4]. - As of August 31, 2025, 4 trillion yuan of the one - time increase of 6 trillion yuan in special bond quotas had been issued, reducing the average interest cost by over 2.5 percentage points and saving over 450 billion yuan in interest. As of September 12, 2025, 2.78 trillion yuan of new local government special bonds had been issued, with 800 billion yuan allocated to supplement government - funded financial resources for debt resolution [6]. - From 2023 to December 19, 2025, 722, 428, and 353 urban investment platforms exited respectively. Since 2024, various provinces have taken measures in debt replacement, platform exit, enterprise transformation, asset revitalization, and cooperation with financial institutions, achieving certain results. Key provinces have effectively reduced interest burdens and eased repayment pressures through special refinancing bonds, while non - key areas have focused on long - term mechanism building [5][6][8]. Changes in Financial Indicators of Urban Investment Companies Investment - Since 2022, the growth rates of urban construction - related assets and self - operated assets have continued to decline, but they remain the main capital flow due to the large base. In the first half of 2025, the investment growth rate further slowed down, and the investment structure continued to adjust [13]. - From 2022 to June 2025, the scales of urban construction - related assets, self - operated assets, and equity and fund investment assets of urban investment companies all continued to rise. In June 2025, the proportions of urban construction - related assets, self - operated assets, and equity and fund - related assets were 63.06%, 24.22%, and 12.72% respectively [13][15]. - As of June 2025, most provinces' total investment in the three categories and urban construction - related asset investment showed positive growth. The total investment growth rate of Inner Mongolia was negative. Hainan, Beijing, Hebei, and Jilin had relatively high growth rates [16]. - As of June 2025, Hainan and Heilongjiang had relatively high proportions of urban construction - related assets; Inner Mongolia, Tibet, Guangdong, and Gansu had relatively high proportions of self - operated assets; Yunnan, Hebei, Shanghai, and Guangdong had relatively high proportions of equity and fund - related investments [17]. Receivables - In the first half of 2025, the accounts receivable scale of urban investment companies continued to expand, but the overall growth rate slowed down, and a small number of provinces achieved a reduction in accounts receivable. The cash - to - income ratio remained at a high level [19][20]. - From 2022 to June 2025, the accounts receivable scale of urban investment companies continued to grow. As of June 2025, Jiangsu, Sichuan, Shandong, Zhejiang, Anhui, and Hunan had relatively large accounts receivable scales, while Heilongjiang, Inner Mongolia, Tibet, Ningxia, Hainan, and Qinghai had accounts receivable below 10 billion yuan. Jilin, Heilongjiang, and Qinghai had relatively fast growth rates, while Shanxi, Liaoning, and Tibet had negative growth rates [21][22]. Financing - In the first half of 2025, the financing activities of urban investment companies remained in a net inflow state, with further regional differentiation. Provinces with large net inflows were concentrated in economically developed regions such as Zhejiang and Jiangsu. Yunnan and Qinghai had continuous net outflows since 2022, and Tibet and Guizhou changed from net inflows in 2024 to net outflows in the first half of 2025 [23][25]. - From 2022 to 2024, the cash inflow and outflow of urban investment companies' financing activities both increased year - by - year, with a decreasing net inflow. In the first half of 2025, the financing cash was in a net inflow state. In the first half of 2025, regions with large cash inflows from financing activities included Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Sichuan, and Henan [26][27]. Interest - Bearing Debt - In the first half of 2025, the debt scale of urban investment companies continued to grow, but the debt growth rate continued to slow down. The debt term structure improved compared to the end of the previous year, but the overall liquidity pressure was still relatively large, and the financing structure was optimized, still mainly relying on bank loans [28]. - As of June 2025, the debt scale of urban investment companies still increased, but the growth rate slowed down. Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan, and Shandong had relatively large debt scales. Hainan had a debt growth rate of over 20%, while some key provinces such as Henan, Guizhou, and Inner Mongolia saw a decline in debt scale [31]. - As of June 2025, the short - term debt ratio of urban investment companies decreased compared to the end of 2024. Jiangsu and Shandong had relatively high short - term debt ratios. The short - term debt ratios of some key provinces such as Yunnan and Liaoning decreased [32]. - As of June 2025, the financing channels of urban investment companies were mainly bank loans (62.40%), followed by bond financing (22.04%) and non - standard financing (15.56%). The proportion of bank loans increased, while the proportions of bond financing and non - standard financing decreased. The issuance scale of urban investment bonds in all provinces decreased in the first half of 2025, with a larger decline in key provinces [33][30]. Debt - Repayment Ability - In the first half of 2025, the overall debt burden of urban investment companies still increased, but the debt burden of most key provinces' urban investment companies decreased. The cash - to - short - term - debt ratio improved, but attention should still be paid to the debt - repayment and liquidity pressures [36]. - From the end of 2022 to June 2025, the overall asset - liability ratio and total debt capitalization ratio of urban investment companies continued to rise, and the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio rebounded in June 2025. Beijing, Zhejiang, and other regions had relatively heavy debt burdens, while most key provinces' urban investment companies saw a reduction in debt burden [38]. Summary - Since 2025, provinces have achieved certain results in debt resolution, including significantly reducing financing costs through debt replacement, significantly reducing the number of financing platforms, and revitalizing assets to provide important funds for debt repayment. The debt scale growth rate of urban investment companies has continued to slow down, and the term and financing structures have been adjusted [39]. - Urban investment companies still face the pressure to deepen market - oriented transformation, aiming to achieve a new dynamic balance between serving regional economic development and consolidating debt stability [39].