医药生物行业报告(2025.12.29-2025.12.31):零售药店行业加速出清,行业集中度提升龙头受益
China Post Securities·2026-01-05 12:24

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The retail pharmacy industry is undergoing accelerated consolidation, with a significant reduction in the number of stores, leading to increased concentration benefiting leading players [4][15] - The number of retail pharmacies in China has decreased by nearly 20,000 since the fourth quarter of 2024, with a net reduction of 8,800 stores in the third quarter of 2025 alone [15][21] - Leading pharmacies are expected to see profit margins improve in 2026 due to operational optimizations and cost control measures [5][21] - The innovation drug sector is currently in a correction phase, but the maturation of clinical data is expected to drive future market performance [7][25] - The medical device sector is showing signs of recovery, with leading companies reporting improved performance in the third quarter of 2025 [29][30] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector is 8084.61, with a 52-week high of 9323.49 and a low of 6764.34 [1] Recent Market Performance - The A-share pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector fell by 2.06% in the last week of December 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.47 percentage points [6][22] - The retail pharmacy sector experienced a decline of 4.11% during the same period [22] Retail Pharmacy Insights - The retail pharmacy industry is seeing a rapid exit of smaller players, with a focus on consolidating market share among leading pharmacies [15][37] - The implementation of drug traceability codes is expected to further increase industry concentration by raising operational costs for smaller pharmacies [20] Innovation Drug Sector - The innovation drug sector is experiencing a correction, but the maturation of clinical data is anticipated to be a key driver for future performance [7][25] - Companies with stable business development (BD) expectations are recommended for investment, including Innovent Biologics and 3SBio [26] Medical Device Sector - The medical device industry is expected to benefit from improved procurement processes and a reduction in the pressure from centralized procurement [29][30] - Leading companies are showing signs of recovery, with Q3 performance improving compared to earlier in the year [29] Traditional Chinese Medicine - The traditional Chinese medicine sector is under pressure but is expected to benefit from policies favoring essential medicines and inventory clearance [34][36]

医药生物行业报告(2025.12.29-2025.12.31):零售药店行业加速出清,行业集中度提升龙头受益 - Reportify