citic securities·2026-01-06 03:11Market Overview - Global economic growth in 2025 showed unexpected resilience, driven by preemptive consumer spending, AI capital expenditure, and a strong stock market, leading to better-than-expected growth in Asia-Pacific emerging economies[4] - In 2026, growth drivers for Asia-Pacific emerging economies may weaken marginally, with a "front-low and back-stable" moderate slowdown expected due to high base effects[4] Stock Market Performance - A-shares opened strong in 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 1.38%, and nearly 4,200 stocks advancing, marking a 12-day winning streak[13] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 48,977.2, up 1.2%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.6% and 0.7%, respectively[6] - European markets strengthened, with the Euro Stoxx 600 index up 0.9% and the DAX 30 rising 1.3%[7] Commodity and Currency Movements - International oil prices increased, with NYMEX crude oil rising 1.74% to $58.32 per barrel, and Brent crude up 1.7% to $61.76[24] - Gold prices rose by 2.82% to $4,451.5 per ounce, while silver increased by 7.94% to $76.657 per ounce[24] Fixed Income Market - U.S. Treasury yields fell by 2-4 basis points due to an unexpected decline in the ISM manufacturing index, with the 10-year yield at 4.16%[27] - The primary market was active, with issuance exceeding $37 billion, about half of the expected issuance for the week[27] Sector Highlights - In the U.S. stock market, energy stocks led gains, with the energy index up 2.67%[7] - In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index rose slightly by 0.03%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.09%[9] Emerging Market Insights - The KOSPI index in South Korea surged 3.4% to 4,457 points, while the Nikkei 225 in Japan rose 3.0% to 51,832 points[19] - The S&P Mexico IPC index increased by 1.4%, closing at 65,014 points, with the materials sector leading gains[7]