恒指延续强势,有望挑战2万7
Guodu Securities Hongkong·2026-01-06 03:02

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index continues to show strength, with a short-term potential to challenge the 27,000 level [2][3] - The A-share market opened positively for the new year, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning above 4,000 points [2] - The overall market saw a narrow trading range, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 8 points at 26,347 [3] Group 2: Economic Forecasts - UBS forecasts Hong Kong's GDP growth to slow to 2.3% in 2026, higher than the market's general prediction of 2% [6] - The bank anticipates a recovery in 2025 with GDP growth reaching 3.1%, up from a previous estimate of 2.2% [6] - Recent data indicates signs of recovery in Hong Kong, including increased consumer sentiment, trade growth, and active financial transactions [6] Group 3: Industry Insights - UBS highlights that the financial sector, which is the largest component of Hong Kong's economy, is expected to benefit from structural growth opportunities [6] - The report identifies three key growth opportunities in the financial sector: outbound Chinese enterprises, favorable conditions for overseas capital inflow, and the continuous growth of asset management [6] - Morgan Stanley has downgraded its oil price forecasts, predicting a downward trend in oil prices due to an oversupply in the global oil market [7] Group 4: Company News - BYD's Chairman Wang Chuanfu emphasizes continued investment in R&D to advance electrification and smart technology, aiming for new growth curves [9] - BYD has become the largest electric vehicle manufacturer globally, achieving a tenfold increase in annual sales [9] - MTR Corporation, in partnership with CRRC, has secured a major contract for the Sydney Metro West project, which will enhance connectivity in Sydney [10][11]