· 2026 年 2 月 26 日 电话：852-34180288 网址：www.guodu.com.hk 每日投资策略 港股反复回升 恒指收涨 175 点 恒指昨日高开 154 点后，升幅一度收窄至 42 点， 低见 26632，大市其后反复向上，并在午市突破早前高 位，曾最多升 279 点，高见 26870 后回软，全日收报 26765 点，升 175 点或 0.66%。国指升 26 点或 0.3%，报 9034 点；科指倒跌 10 点或 0.19%，报 5260 点。大市全 日成交 2367.65 亿元，北水净流出 40.57 亿元。 88 只蓝筹股中，上升、下跌股份各占 42 只。科网 股个别发展，腾讯(00700)升 0.5%，报 522.5 元；阿里 巴巴(09988)升 0.2%，报 148.3 元；美团(03690)升 1.6%， 报 82.7 元；网易(09999)跌 0.6%，报 178.3 元。 国都港股操作导航 海外市场重要指数 收市 幅度 道琼斯工业指数 49,482.27 0.63% 标普 500 指数 6,946.14 0.81% 纳斯达克综合指数 23,152.08 1.26% ...

· 2026 年 2 月 26 日 国都香港研究部 电话：852-34180288 网址：www.guodu.com.hk 每日投资策略 港股反复回升 恒指收涨 175 点 恒指昨日高开 154 点后，升幅一度收窄至 42 点， 低见 26632，大市其后反复向上，并在午市突破早前高 位，曾最多升 279 点，高见 26870 后回软，全日收报 26765 点，升 175 点或 0.66%。国指升 26 点或 0.3%，报 9034 点；科指倒跌 10 点或 0.19%，报 5260 点。大市全 日成交 2367.65 亿元，北水净流出 40.57 亿元。 88 只蓝筹股中，上升、下跌股份各占 42 只。科网 股个别发展，腾讯(00700)升 0.5%，报 522.5 元；阿里 巴巴(09988)升 0.2%，报 148.3 元；美团(03690)升 1.6%， 报 82.7 元；网易(09999)跌 0.6%，报 178.3 元。 新一份《财政预算案》已登场，A 股两连升，港股 再失两万七关后，在期指结算前夕反复回升，恒指一度 升近 300 点，但仍受制 10 天线(处 26863)，全日收市升 175 点 ...

· 国都港股操作导航 | 海外市场重要指数 | 收市 | 幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业指数 | 49,174.81 | 0.76% | | 标普 500 指数 | 6,890.11 | 0.77% | | 纳斯达克综合指数 | 22,863.68 | 1.05% | | 英国富时 100 指数 | 10,680.59 | -0.04% | | 德国 DAX 指数 | 24,986.25 | -0.02% | | 日经 225 指数 | 57,321.09 | 0.87% | | 台湾加权指数 | 33,773.26 | 0.50% | | 内地股市 | | | | 上证指数 | 4,117.41 | 0.87% | | 深证成指 | 14,291.57 | 1.36% | | 香港股市 | | | | 恒生指数 | 26,590.32 | -1.82% | | 国企指数 | 9,007.86 | -2.06% | | 红筹指数 | 4,445.90 | -0.46% | | 恒生科技指数 | 5,270.70 | -2.13% | | AH 股溢价指数 | 116.99 | ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down 233 points, or 0.86%, at 27,032 points, after experiencing significant selling pressure throughout the day [3][4] - Major technology stocks dragged the market down, with Meituan, Ctrip, Tencent, Baidu, JD.com, and Alibaba all reporting declines [4] - The total market turnover was HKD 238.7 billion, with a net inflow of HKD 4.567 billion from northbound trading [3] Group 2: Macro & Industry Dynamics - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority emphasized that managing credit risk will be a top priority in 2026, particularly concerning the commercial real estate sector, which accounts for 14% of total outstanding loans [8] - The MPF Authority aims to reduce administrative fees for the "MPF Easy" platform to below 30 basis points next year, with expected reductions of 57% to 65% in fees for the strong MPF plans [7] Group 3: Company News - Wynn Macau reported an adjusted property EBITDAR of USD 1.085 billion for the year ending December, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, with operating revenue down 15.73% [12] - Melco International Development reported a net income of USD 60.635 million for the fourth quarter, a significant turnaround from a net loss of USD 20.274 million in the same period last year [13] - Anton Oilfield Services expects a profit of approximately RMB 360 million to RMB 380 million for the year ending December, representing a year-on-year increase of 48.4% to 56.6% [15]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 83 points, closing at 27,266 points, marking a three-day increase totaling 706 points or 2.66% [3][4] - The total market turnover was HKD 2,172.18 million, with a net inflow of HKD 48.16 million from northbound trading [3] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has issued new guidelines allowing licensed brokers to expand their services to include margin financing for virtual assets, aiming to enhance market liquidity under a controlled risk framework [7] - The SFC has established a high-level framework for virtual asset trading platforms to guide the development of leveraged products for professional investors, emphasizing transparency and robust operational monitoring [7] Group 3: Company News - NetEase (09999) CEO Ding Lei indicated that the explosion of AI technology is expected to accelerate the survival of the fittest in the gaming industry, with the company investing heavily in AI applications across various development stages [12] - Wisdom (02513) has launched its new flagship model GLM-5, achieving state-of-the-art performance in coding and agent capabilities, now available on its z.ai platform [13] - Haitong International (00806) anticipates a significant increase in profit to approximately HKD 660 million for the fiscal year ending December 2025, driven by a rise in assets under management and strong investment performance [14]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 467 points or 1.76%, closing at 27,027 points, after reaching a high of 27,111 points during the day [3][4] - The total market turnover was 255.14 billion HKD, with a net outflow of 1.887 billion HKD from northbound trading [3] Key Stock Performances - Among the 88 blue-chip stocks, 70 saw an increase, with notable gains from Alibaba (up 1.9% to 157.9 HKD), Tencent (up 2.3% to 560 HKD), and Baidu (up 3.2% to 142.2 HKD) [4] - Kuaishou experienced a decline of 2.7%, closing at 69.3 HKD, while China Mobile fell by 2.1% to 78.5 HKD, marking it as one of the weaker performers [4] Real Estate Market Insights - DBS Bank indicated that the commercial real estate market in Hong Kong is under pressure, with office and retail sectors still finding their floor, and transactions occurring at discounted prices [8] - The bank noted that despite some ongoing transactions, the influx of new developments continues to exert pressure on office inventory [8] Employment Regulations - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security in China has initiated administrative guidance for 16 major platform companies, including Meituan and JD, to ensure compliance with labor management and protect workers' rights [9] Entertainment Industry Projections - The domestic box office for the upcoming Spring Festival is expected to reach between 7 billion to 8 billion RMB, with optimistic forecasts suggesting it could exceed 8 billion RMB [10] - Eight films have been scheduled for release during this period, with "Fast Life 3" anticipated to perform well based on its previous popularity [10] Company-Specific Developments - Pop Mart reported global sales of over 400 million units across all IP categories in 2025, with the "THE MONSTERS" category alone exceeding 100 million units [11] - China Resources Pharmaceutical is initiating the sale of a 17.87% stake in Hefei Tianmai Biotechnology, with a starting price of approximately 1.42 billion RMB [12] - Yingda Real Estate reported a 51% increase in revenue, with total income from continuing operations reaching 1.046 billion HKD [13] - Hong Kong Telecom is establishing a new AI data center in the Lok Ma Chau area, aiming to enhance cross-border connectivity and meet the growing demand for fiber optics [14]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down 325 points, a weekly decline of 827 points, marking a 3.02% drop [3][4] - The index opened lower by 530 points, reaching a low of 26,295 points before stabilizing [3] - The total market turnover for the day was 247.865 billion HKD, with a net inflow of 14.859 billion HKD from northbound trading [3] Company News - **Xinda Biopharmaceuticals** entered a strategic partnership with Eli Lilly to advance global research and development of innovative drugs in oncology and immunology, receiving an upfront payment of 350 million USD (approximately 2.73 billion HKD) [12] - **Meitu Inc.** expects adjusted net profit growth of 60% to 66% for the fiscal year ending December 2025, driven by rapid growth in its imaging and design products segment [13] - **Jiaxin International** anticipates a turnaround with a net profit of approximately 300 to 340 million HKD for the year ending last December, compared to a loss of 173 million HKD in the previous year [14] - **Color Star Technology** expects a net loss of 15 million HKD for the year ending last December, a reversal from a net profit of 132 million HKD in 2024, primarily due to a 45% decrease in revenue [15] Economic Indicators - Hong Kong's official foreign exchange reserves increased by 7.7 billion USD to 435.6 billion USD at the end of January, equivalent to over five times the currency in circulation [8] - China's foreign exchange reserves rose for the sixth consecutive month, reaching 3.399 trillion USD, with gold reserves increasing for 15 months [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a V-shaped rebound, closing up 37 points or 0.14% at 26,885 after a significant drop earlier in the day, indicating that negative news has been digested and the market may return to 27,000 [3] - The Hang Seng Index opened lower, dropping as much as 436 points before recovering, with a total trading volume of 315.12 billion [3] Group 2: Company Performance - Among 88 blue-chip stocks, 61 saw an increase, with notable recoveries in technology stocks such as Tencent, which closed up 0.1% at 558.5, and Xiaomi, which rose 2.8% to 34.92 [4] - MGM China reported a net revenue of USD 1.236 billion for the last three months of the previous year, a year-on-year increase of 21.37%, with adjusted EBITDAR rising by 30.46% [9] Group 3: Industry Dynamics - Goldman Sachs noted an escalation in competition within China's consumer AI sector, predicting that major platforms like Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance will dominate the market [6] - The report highlights that Alibaba's strengths lie in its integration of e-commerce and local services, while Tencent's success will depend on the integration speed of its AI features within WeChat [6] - The Chinese gold consumption decreased by 3.57% year-on-year in 2025, marking the second consecutive year of decline, with jewelry consumption dropping significantly while gold bars and coins saw an increase [7]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has stabilized after two consecutive declines, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,847 points, up 12 points or 0.05% [3] - The market experienced fluctuations, initially opening down 37 points and later dropping as much as 241 points before recovering [3] - The total market turnover for the day was 28.54 billion HKD [3] Company News - Tencent's stock fell by 4% to a low of 558 HKD, contributing to the decline in tech stocks [4] - Other tech companies such as NetEase, Baidu, Xiaomi, JD.com, Meituan, and Alibaba also saw declines ranging from 0.9% to 4% [4] - Tianqi Lithium announced plans to sell a portion of its shares in SQM, with a maximum of 356,600 shares, representing no more than 1.25% of SQM's total shares [10] Macro & Industry Dynamics - The Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) reported an average gain of 11,085 HKD in January, with a total asset value expected to exceed 1.6 trillion HKD by the end of January [6][7] - The MPF's return for January was 3.42%, marking the fifth-best performance for January since the system's inception [7] - Goldman Sachs predicts the Chinese Yuan will strengthen to 6.7 by year-end, with expectations of continued appreciation due to export growth and foreign capital inflows [8]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index experienced volatility, initially rising over 300 points before dropping due to concerns over potential increases in value-added tax for technology stocks, ultimately closing up 59 points or 0.22% at 26,834 points [3][4] - The total market turnover for the day was 335.15 billion [3] Group 2: Technology Sector Concerns - Concerns arose regarding the increase in value-added tax for telecommunications services, leading to significant declines in major tech stocks such as Tencent, which fell 2.9% to 581 HKD, and Kuaishou, which dropped 4.6% to 73.45 HKD [4][9] - The adjustment of the value-added tax rate from 6% to 9% for telecommunications services has raised fears that similar increases may affect other sectors, particularly internet value-added services [9] Group 3: Gold Market Analysis - Citi's report indicates that gold prices are expected to decline, with a potential drop to 3,000 USD per ounce in a bear market scenario, while the baseline scenario predicts a decrease to 4,000 USD by 2027 [7][8] - Current gold prices have reached extreme levels, with the annual expenditure on gold as a percentage of GDP rising to 0.7%, the highest in 55 years, indicating a disconnection from the mining industry's marginal production costs [7] Group 4: Company News - Gilead Sciences announced a placement of 69.256 million new shares at a price of 12.18 HKD per share, raising approximately 844 million HKD, with 90% of the proceeds allocated for clinical trials of a new obesity treatment [11] - Cloud Wisdom plans to issue 1.008 million new H shares at a price of 310 HKD per share, raising approximately 312 million HKD, with proceeds aimed at enhancing its core technology capabilities [12] - Huatai Securities intends to issue 10 billion HKD in zero-coupon convertible bonds to support overseas business development and operational funding [14]