多行业联合人工智能1月报：25年中美科技股复盘-20260106

Strategy - The year 2025 marks a watershed moment for Chinese and American technology stocks, with Chinese tech stocks showing a significant increase compared to their American counterparts, driven by "hard technology" and domestic substitution [12][15][19] - The overall performance of Chinese tech stocks includes a 49.6% increase in the ChiNext Index, a 46.3% increase in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index, and a 23.5% increase in the Hang Seng Tech Index, outperforming the Nasdaq's 20.4% increase [12][15] - The market is increasingly cautious about the high concentration of profits among a few tech giants in the US, as evidenced by the performance of the "MAG 7" stocks [19][24] Electronics - The scaling law remains effective, with the introduction of multimodal and agent models expected to accelerate AI computing demand [35] - The PCB industry is anticipated to maintain high growth due to its heavy asset nature, with capacity release and product structure optimization driving non-linear performance improvements [35] - Recommended stocks in this sector include Jingwang Electronics, Shenzhen South Circuit, Dongshan Precision, Huitian Technology, and others [35] Computer - The inference and agent ecosystem is experiencing a comprehensive explosion, with global models gradually entering a commercial closed loop [36] - Significant events include OpenAI's partnership with Disney for the Sora model and the planned IPO of Zhipu AI, which aims to be the first publicly listed company focused on general artificial intelligence [36][37] - The release of OpenAI's GPT-5.2-Codex marks a new benchmark for AI programming capabilities [36] Media - The capitalization progress of the AI industry chain is ongoing, which is expected to boost sentiment in the internet and AI sectors [37] - Notable acquisitions include Meta's purchase of the AI agent application Manus, which has achieved an ARR of over $100 million [37] - The valuation of global AI applications is expanding, with OpenAI's ARR projected to reach $20 billion and a valuation exceeding $500 billion [37] Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from concept validation to commercialization, with companies that have developed product capabilities in key components or specific solutions likely to benefit [38] - The market's aesthetic preferences prioritize incremental components and Tesla-related supply chains, indicating potential investment opportunities [38] - Recommended stocks include Xinjie Electric, Huichuan Technology, and Hengli Hydraulic [38] Automotive - The 2026 automotive subsidy policy is expected to lead to an early rebound in the automotive sector, with retail sales projected to grow by 2% and electric vehicle sales by 11% [39] - The shift from fixed subsidies to percentage-based subsidies is anticipated to favor higher-priced vehicles [39] - Recommended stocks include Geely Automobile and BYD, with a focus on the intelligent driving sector [39]