ZPUG(SZ:000685) Guoxin Securities·2026-01-06 09:37Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][16]. Core Views - The adjustment of water prices in Zhongshan is expected to enhance the company's performance, with the new pricing mechanism set to take effect on February 1, 2026, leading to an estimated increase in comprehensive water prices by 23%-26% [4][5]. - The company has an indirect stake in Changxin Technology, which has received approval for its IPO on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, potentially enhancing the company's intrinsic value [7][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Water Price Adjustment - The new water pricing mechanism in Zhongshan will increase the comprehensive water price from 1.73 RMB per cubic meter to approximately 2.14-2.18 RMB per cubic meter, representing a 23%-26% increase [5][6]. - Specific adjustments include residential water prices in the public water service area rising to 1.88 RMB per cubic meter and non-residential water prices to 2.45 RMB per cubic meter [5][6]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.11 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18.11%, with a significant growth in investment income driven by Guangfa Securities [12][13]. - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted upwards, with expected figures of 15.18 billion RMB, 16.86 billion RMB, and 18.47 billion RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 11%, and 10% respectively [16]. Investment in Changxin Technology - The company holds an indirect stake of approximately 0.02% in Changxin Technology through its investment fund, which is expected to support the company's intrinsic value as Changxin Technology aims to raise 29.5 billion RMB in its IPO [7][11].