期指:美股、商品强势共振
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2026-01-07 01:36
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On January 6, all the current - month contracts of the four major stock index futures rose, with IF up 1.7%, IH up 1.9%, IC up 2.42%, and IM up 1.65%. The total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded, indicating increased trading enthusiasm among investors. The total trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased by 12,633 lots, 6,465 lots, 27,205 lots, and 18,204 lots respectively. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF, IH, and IC increased by 6,165 lots, 6,283 lots, and 6,560 lots respectively, while the total positions of IM decreased by 176 lots [1][2]. - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The Shanghai Composite Index set a record for the longest consecutive daily gains, closing up 1.5% at 4083.67 on January 6, reaching a new high in over 10 years and achieving 13 consecutive daily gains. The Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.4%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.75%, and the Wind All - A Index rose 1.59%. The market turnover expanded to 2.83 trillion yuan, a new high in over three months. The Hong Kong stock market rose unilaterally. The US three major stock indexes all closed up, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 reaching new record closing highs [6][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - CSI 300 and Related Futures: The closing price of CSI 300 was 4790.7, up 1.55%. Among its futures contracts, IF2601 closed at 4795.4, up 1.70% with a basis of 4.71; IF2602 closed at 4784.8, up 1.70% with a basis of - 5.89; IF2603 closed at 4778, up 1.71% with a basis of - 12.69; IF2606 closed at 4734, up 1.75% with a basis of - 56.69 [1]. - SSE 50 and Related Futures: The closing price of SSE 50 was 3158.8, up 1.90%. Among its futures contracts, IH2601 closed at 3158.8, up 1.90% with a basis of 0.04; IH2602 closed at 3159.2, up 2.00% with a basis of 0.44; IH2603 closed at 3161.8, up 1.96% with a basis of 3.04; IH2606 closed at 3150.8, up 1.94% with a basis of - 7.96 [1]. - CSI 500 and Related Futures: The closing price of CSI 500 was 7814.1, up 2.13%. Among its futures contracts, IC2601 closed at 7836, up 2.42% with a basis of 21.86; IC2602 closed at 7805.6, up 2.56% with a basis of - 8.54; IC2603 closed at 7786.4, up 2.69% with a basis of - 27.74; IC2606 closed at 7613.4, up 2.84% with a basis of - 200.7 [1]. - CSI 1000 and Related Futures: The closing price of CSI 1000 was 7864.9, up 1.43%. Among its futures contracts, IM2601 closed at 7875, up 1.65% with a basis of 10.1; IM2602 closed at 7813.6, up 1.73% with a basis of - 51.3; IM2603 closed at 7762.4, up 1.80% with a basis of - 102.5; IM2606 closed at 7536.2, up 1.95% with a basis of - 328.7 [1]. 3.2 Trading Volume and Position Changes - Trading Volume: The total trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased by 12,633 lots, 6,465 lots, 27,205 lots, and 18,204 lots respectively, indicating increased trading enthusiasm [2]. - Positions: The total positions of IF, IH, and IC increased by 6,165 lots, 6,283 lots, and 6,560 lots respectively, while the total positions of IM decreased by 176 lots [2]. 3.3 Top 20 Member Position Changes - IF Contracts: For IF2601, long - order changes were - 939 and short - order changes were - 669; for IF2603, long - order changes were 3334 and short - order changes were 3459; for IF2606, long - order changes were 1751 and short - order changes were 2227 [5]. - IH Contracts: For IH2601, long - order changes were 1197 and short - order changes were 1489; for IH2603, long - order changes were 2916 and short - order changes were 3397; for IH2606, long - order changes were 308 and short - order changes were 284 [5]. - IC Contracts: For IC2601, long - order changes were - 1235 and short - order changes were - 1981; for IC2602, long - order changes were 1394 and short - order changes were 1969; for IC2603, long - order changes were 1900 and short - order changes were 3413; for IC2606, long - order changes were 1418 and short - order changes were 2141 [5]. - IM Contracts: For IM2601, long - order changes were - 2606 and short - order changes were - 4008; for IM2602, long - order net changes were 134 and short - order net changes were - 1861; for IM2603, long - order changes were 1604 and short - order changes were 716 [5]. 3.4 Market Trends and Drivers - A - share Market: The Shanghai Composite Index set a record for the longest consecutive daily gains, closing up 1.5% at 4083.67 on January 6, reaching a new high in over 10 years. The Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.4%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.75%, and the Wind All - A Index rose 1.59%. The market turnover expanded to 2.83 trillion yuan, a new high in over three months [6]. - Hong Kong Stock Market: The Hong Kong stock market rose unilaterally, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 1.38% at 26710.45, the Hang Seng Tech Index up 1.46%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 1.05%. Southbound capital had a net purchase of HK$2.879 billion [6]. - US Stock Market: The US three major stock indexes all closed up, with the Dow Jones up 0.99% at 49462.08, the S&P 500 up 0.62% at 6944.82, and the Nasdaq up 0.65% at 23547.17. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 reached new record closing highs [7]. - A - share New Account Openings: In December 2025, there were 2.5967 million new A - share accounts opened, a month - on - month increase of 9% and a year - on - year increase of 31%. In 2025, a total of 27.4369 million new accounts were opened, a year - on - year increase of 9.75% [7]. - Central Bank Policy: The People's Bank of China deployed key work for 2026, including flexible use of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, improving the structural monetary policy tool system, and strengthening financial market supervision [7].