宏观金融数据日报-20260107

Group 1: Interest Rates and Central Bank Operations - DRO01 closed at 1.26 with a 2.07 bp increase, DR007 at 1.43 with a 0.26 bp increase, GC001 at 1.74 with a 173.50 bp increase, and GC007 at 1.57 with a 156.50 bp increase [3] - SHBOR 3M closed at 1.60 with no change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change [3] - 1 - year treasury closed at 1.32 with a 1.80 bp increase, 5 - year at 1.62 with a 1.00 bp increase, 10 - year at 1.83 with a 1.70 bp decrease, and 10 - year US treasury at 0.00 with no change [3] - The central bank conducted 162 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with an operation rate of 1.40%, and 3125 billion yuan of reverse repurchases matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 2963 billion yuan [3] - This week, 13236 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market, and 11000 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchases will mature on Thursday, and 600 billion yuan of treasury cash fixed - deposits will mature on Friday [4] Group 2: Stock Index Futures and Stock Market Performance - On the previous trading day, the CSI 300 rose 1.9% to 4717.7, the SSE 50 rose 2.26% to 3099.7, the CSI 500 rose 2.49% to 7651.2, and the CSI 1000 rose 2.09% to 7753.9 [6] - The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 28326 billion yuan, an increase of 2651 billion yuan [6] - Most industry sectors rose, with only the beauty and care sector falling [6] - In the short term, the stock index may continue its strong trend, and in 2026, it is expected to rise further on the basis of 2025 [7] - It is recommended that investors choose to build long positions [7] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Influencing Factors - Domestic factors have a generally positive impact on the stock index, including improved fundamental data, policy support, good liquidity, and high market risk - appetite [6] - In December 2025, both the manufacturing PMI and non - manufacturing PMI returned to the expansion range [6] - In 2026, the "two new" policies were clearly implemented, and the scope of equipment renewal support was broadened [6] - Before the festival, the trading activity of A - shares increased significantly, and the margin trading balance increased [6] - During the festival, the Hong Kong stock market and the A50 index performed actively, and the RMB exchange rate strengthened [6]