航运衍生品数据日报-20260107

Report Summary 1. Reported Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The current European line freight rates are in a high - level oscillation. The quotes of each alliance in the second half and last ten - day of the month are generally higher than those in the first ten - day. The OA alliance has the highest overall freight rate level, and the individual quote increase of MSC is significant. The SCFIS index shows a relatively strong oscillation pattern, and its trend is restricted by the expected actual freight rates of liner companies in late January. The current main contracts fluctuate sharply and lack a one - way trend, with high operation difficulty. The recommended strategy is to wait and see [5][6][7] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Shipping Freight Rate Index - Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index (SCFI): The current value is 1656, the previous value is 1553, and the increase rate is 6.66% [4] - China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI): The current value is 1147, the previous value is 1125, and the increase rate is 1.95% [4] - SCFI - US West: The current value is 2188, the previous value is 1992, and the increase rate is 9.84% [4] - SCFIS - US West: The current value is 1250, the previous value is 1301, and the decrease rate is 3.92% [4] - SCFI - US East: The current value is 3033, the previous value is 2846, and the increase rate is 6.57% [4] - SCFI - Northwest Europe: The current value is 1690, the previous value is 1533, and the increase rate is 10.24% [4] - SCFIS - Northwest Europe: The current value is 1795, the previous value is 1742, and the increase rate is 3.04% [4] - SCFI - Mediterranean: The current value is 3143, the previous value is 2833, and the increase rate is 10.94% [4] 3.2 Spot Freight Rates of Different Alliances - GEMINI Alliance - wk1 (12/29 - 1/4): 20GP is 1585, 40GP is 2550 - wk2 (1/5 - 1/12): 20GP is 1585, 40GP is 2550 (same as wk1) - wk3 (1/13 - 1/20): 20GP is 1635, 40GP is 2650 (increased by 50 and 100 respectively compared to wk1) [5] - OA Alliance - wk1 (12/20 - 1/4): 20GP is 1535, 40GP is 2631 - wk2 (1/5 - 1/12): 20GP is 1824, 40GP is 3068 (significantly increased compared to wk1) - wk3 (1/13 - 1/20): 20GP is 1824, 40GP is 3068 (same as wk2) [5] - PA Alliance - wk1 (12/29 - 1/4): 20GP is 1603, 40GP is 2806 - wk2 (1/5 - 1/12): 20GP is 1645, 40GP is 2600 - wk3 (1/13 - 1/20): 20GP is 1645, 40GP is 2600 (same as wk2) [6] - MSC - wk1 (12/20 - 1/4): 20GP is 1700, 40GP is 2840 - wk2 (1/5 - 1/12): 20GP is 1700, 40GP is 2840 (same as wk1) - wk3 (1/13 - 1/20): 20GP is 1880, 40GP is 3140 (increased by 180 and 300 respectively compared to wk1) [6] 3.3 Strategy - The recommended strategy for the shipping derivatives market is to wait and see [7]