反内卷加速供需重塑,重视新技术、新场景
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan·2026-01-07 10:46

Group 1 - The "anti-involution" trend is reshaping supply and demand in the photovoltaic industry, with price recovery expected as the market stabilizes. The introduction of energy storage at parity in key markets is accelerating, alleviating pressure on the grid from rapid increases in photovoltaic installations. The long-term demand outlook is optimistic due to rising computing power needs and breakthroughs in photovoltaic technology for space applications [2][12][14]. Group 2 - The penetration of low-silver and silver-free technologies is expected to increase rapidly, with leading companies likely to recover profitability faster than the industry average. The rise in silver prices is driving the adoption of these technologies, which are crucial for cost reduction [3][38][43]. Group 3 - The auxiliary material sector, under pressure for over three years, is expected to see a recovery in profitability as companies diversify their business models. Leading firms are preparing for a second growth phase, which will enhance their revenue streams [4][63]. Group 4 - Beneficiary analysis indicates that companies leading in low-silver and silver-free technology, such as Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar, are well-positioned to benefit from cost advantages. Companies actively investing in energy storage, like Trina Solar and JA Solar, are also expected to see early recovery in profitability [5][73]. Group 5 - Global demand for photovoltaic installations is projected to grow, with an estimated 600 GW and 610 GW of new installations in 2025 and 2026, respectively. However, growth rates may slow due to market saturation in core regions like China and Europe [8][14]. Group 6 - The supply side is experiencing overcapacity, with significant production increases expected in silicon materials and components. The "anti-involution" movement is leading to reduced capital expenditures, which may help manage supply effectively [12][30]. Group 7 - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a shift towards new technologies and applications, such as space photovoltaics and perovskite solar cells, which are expected to expand market opportunities significantly [49][54].

反内卷加速供需重塑,重视新技术、新场景 - Reportify