中国石化(600028):动态跟踪报告:二十五载风雨兼程,国之柱石再启航
EBSCN·2026-01-07 11:11

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [6]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a key player in national energy security and is actively embracing transformation towards green energy under the "dual carbon" goals [1][3]. - The company has a robust integrated business model across the entire oil and gas value chain, which helps it navigate through cyclical fluctuations [2]. - Future growth is expected to be driven by green transformation and industrial upgrades, focusing on optimizing refining structures and expanding into renewable energy sectors [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a 25-year history since its H-share listing, showcasing its evolution and core role in China's energy strategy [1][18]. - It is the largest oil and gas producer and refiner in China, with a significant oil reserve system and a nationwide network [1][23]. Integrated Business Model - Upstream: The company focuses on "increasing reserves and production," with shale oil production exceeding 1 million tons and proven shale gas reserves over 1 trillion cubic meters [2]. - Midstream: It has built a leading refining and intelligent refining base, with a network of over 30,000 gas stations and 28,000 convenience stores [2]. - Downstream: The company is implementing strategies to optimize refining structures and is exploring new energy businesses such as hydrogen and solar power [2][3]. Future Growth Engines - The company is enhancing its refining structure to increase the proportion of chemical products and high-end specialty oils, while also expanding into hydrogen and renewable energy [3]. - It is accelerating digital transformation and developing new business models in energy services [3]. Governance and Reforms - The company is advancing state-owned enterprise reforms to enhance governance efficiency and market-oriented management mechanisms [3]. - Its ESG performance is improving, attracting long-term capital [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 401 billion, 462 billion, and 514 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.33, 0.38, and 0.43 yuan per share [3][5].