股市价波双升，债市情绪偏弱

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The stock market shows a positive trend with both price and trading volume increasing, while the bond market sentiment is weak [1]. - For stock index futures, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high with heavy trading volume, and it is recommended to allocate long positions in IC contracts before the Two Sessions [1]. - In the stock index options market, the trading volume increased significantly, and there was an obvious phenomenon of rising price and volatility. It is recommended to hold long call options or bull spreads [2]. - Regarding treasury bond futures, the market is expected to be volatile in the short - term, and investors should pay attention to whether the 10 - year treasury bond yield can hold the 1.9% mark [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - The Shanghai Composite Index continued its upward trend on Tuesday, rising 1.5% with heavy volume. Non - ferrous metals and non - bank finance led the gains, and the CSI 500 performed better among broad - based indices. The rally was driven by positive external sentiment, early entry of institutional funds, and the resonance between the commodity and stock markets. It is recommended to hold long positions in IC contracts [1][7]. - The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM current - month contracts was 4.71 points, 0.04 points, 21.86 points, and 10.10 points respectively, with a month - on - month change of 8.45 points, 2.38 points, 8.26 points, and 4.78 points. The spread between current - month and next - month contracts and the total positions also changed [7]. 3.1.2 Stock Index Options - The underlying market continued to rise significantly, and the trading volume of the options market reached 139.52 billion yuan, a 42.38% increase from the previous day. The game and chasing intensity at the options end increased significantly, with an obvious rise in the call trading volume ratio and an average increase of 2.05% in the implied volatility index. It is recommended to hold long call options or bull spreads and turn to a wait - and - see attitude for short - selling strategies [2]. 3.1.3 Treasury Bond Futures - Treasury bond futures declined across the board. The T main contract showed a volatile trend throughout the day. The inter - bank market liquidity was loose, and the DR001 rate slightly rose to around 1.26%. The A - share market's continuous improvement affected the bond market sentiment. The central bank's bond - buying scale in December was 50 billion yuan, falling short of expectations. Investors need to pay attention to whether the 10 - year treasury bond yield can hold the 1.9% mark. The bond market is expected to be volatile, and institutional investors can play for rebounds but should wait for a reversal [3][8][10]. - The trading volume, open interest, spread, and basis of T, TF, TS, and TL contracts changed. The central bank conducted 16.2 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 312.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing [8]. - Operational suggestions include a volatile trend strategy, paying attention to short - hedging at low basis levels, appropriately focusing on basis widening, and expecting the yield curve to remain steep [10]. 3.2 Economic Calendar - The report provides an economic calendar for the current week, including indicators such as China's December SPGI Services PMI, China's December foreign exchange reserves, the US December ADP employment change, the Eurozone November unemployment rate, etc., along with their previous values, forecast values, and some yet - to - be - announced values [11]. 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - The 2026 work meeting of the People's Bank of China emphasized continuing to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, enhancing the integrated effect of incremental and existing policies, and providing financial support for the "15th Five - Year Plan" [12]. - A Fed governor said that subsequent economic data would support the view that interest rate cuts are appropriate, and the Fed should cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year [12]. 3.4 Derivatives Market Monitoring - The report mentions monitoring data for stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures, but specific data details are not fully presented [13][17][29].