HONGRUN CONSTRUCTION(SZ:002062) EBSCN·2026-01-07 12:23Investment Rating - The report gives the company an "Accumulate" rating for the first time [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is one of the earliest private enterprises to enter shield tunneling construction in China, with over 300 kilometers of cumulative tunneling and a strong presence in key cities like Shanghai, Hangzhou, and Ningbo. The company is expanding its business from traditional infrastructure to include photovoltaic energy storage, distributed energy, and intelligent construction, creating a more balanced growth structure [1][14]. - The company's new energy business is entering a high-growth phase, projected to grow by 298% year-on-year in 2024 and 94% in the first half of 2025, contributing significantly to profit. This shift from "construction contracting" to "engineering + energy" is beginning to show results [1][3]. - The construction industry is under pressure, with new contracts declining for two consecutive years. However, policies aimed at improving cash flow are expected to gradually enhance the financial environment for the industry [2][38]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has evolved from a focus on rail transit construction to becoming a leading integrated construction group in urban infrastructure and new energy. It has a strong foothold in the Yangtze River Delta region and has diversified its business to include various sectors such as municipal engineering and renewable energy [14][16]. Industry Analysis - The construction industry is currently facing a contraction due to a downturn in the real estate sector and tightening local finances. New contract amounts have decreased significantly, but ongoing debt resolution policies are expected to improve cash flow conditions [2][38]. Business Transformation - The company is actively seeking new growth avenues in response to the pressures on traditional construction. It is focusing on new energy and intelligent construction, with significant investments in these areas. The new energy business is expected to provide a second growth curve, while the AI robotics sector is also being developed through strategic partnerships [54][65]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts a decline in revenue for 2024, with a projected revenue of 5.923 billion yuan, down 7.82% year-on-year. However, net profit is expected to stabilize and grow in subsequent years, with predictions of 287 million yuan in 2025 and 350 million yuan in 2027 [4][3].