期指:上行斜率放缓
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2026-01-08 02:38

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - On January 7, 2026, the four major index futures contracts showed mixed performance. IF and IH declined, while IC and IM rose. The trading volume of index futures decreased, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. The total positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM also decreased [1][2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Index Futures Data Tracking - Closing Prices and Fluctuations: On January 7, the closing price of CSI 300 was 4776.7, down 0.29%; IF2601 closed at 4772.8, down 0.26%. The closing price of SSE 50 was 3145.1, down 0.43%; IH2601 closed at 3144.4, down 0.29%. The closing price of CSI 500 was 7875.1, up 0.68%; IC2601 closed at 7869.6, up 0.68%. The closing price of CSI 1000 was 7906.4, up 0.53%; IM2601 closed at 7882, up 0.43% [1]. - Trading Volume and Positions: The total trading volume of IF decreased by 23622 lots, IH by 14948 lots, IC by 17874 lots, and IM by 22592 lots. The total positions of IF decreased by 7604 lots, IH by 8228 lots, IC by 888 lots, and IM by 2026 lots [2]. - Basis: The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts varied. For example, the basis of IF2601 was -3.87, and that of IC2601 was -5.48 [1]. 3.2. Top 20 Member Positions in Index Futures - IF Contracts: The long - positions of IF2601 decreased by 3769 lots, IF2603 by 1732 lots, and IF2606 by 213 lots. The short - positions of IF2601 decreased by 3502 lots, IF2603 by 3798 lots, and IF2606 increased by 282 lots [5]. - IH Contracts: The long - positions of IH2601 decreased by 2731 lots, IH2603 by 3815 lots, and IH2606 increased by 83 lots. The short - positions of IH2601 decreased by 2879 lots, IH2603 by 3742 lots, and IH2606 increased by 162 lots [5]. - IC Contracts: The long - positions of IC2601 decreased by 3387 lots, IC2602 increased by 1349 lots, IC2603 increased by 1391 lots, and IC2606 increased by 1083 lots. The short - positions of IC2601 decreased by 3051 lots, IC2602 increased by 1484 lots, IC2603 decreased by 79 lots, and IC2606 increased by 1251 lots [5]. - IM Contracts: The long - positions of IM2601 decreased by 2700 lots, IM2602 increased by 2885 lots, and IM2603 decreased by 755 lots. The short - positions of IM2601 decreased by 2812 lots, IM2602 increased by 2946 lots, and IM2603 decreased by 2494 lots [5]. 3.3. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.4. Important Drivers - Policy: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other eight departments issued the "Implementation Opinions on the Special Action of 'Artificial Intelligence + Manufacturing'", aiming to achieve safe and reliable supply of key core technologies in artificial intelligence by 2027 [7]. - Stock Market Performance: A - shares fluctuated and rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.05% to 4085.77 points, achieving a 14 - day consecutive rise. Hong Kong stocks fluctuated and declined, with the Hang Seng Index falling 0.94% to 26458.95 points. U.S. stocks closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.94%, the S&P 500 Index falling 0.34%, and the Nasdaq rising 0.16% [7][8].