航运衍生品数据日报-20260108

Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Shipping Derivatives Data Daily [2] - Research institute: Guomao Futures Research Institute, Energy and Chemical Research Center [3] - Author: Lu Dingyi [3] - Date: January 8, 2026 [3] - Data sources: Clarksons, Wind [3] Group 2: Freight Index Data - Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) and related sub - indices: - The current value of the comprehensive index SCET is 1656, with a previous value of 1553 and a growth rate of 6.66% [4]. - The current value of the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) is 1147, with a previous value of 1125 and a growth rate of 1.95% [4]. - SCFI - US West has a current value of 2188, a previous value of 1992, and a growth rate of 9.84% [4]. - SCFIS - US West has a current value of 1250, a previous value of 1301, and a decline rate of - 3.92% [4]. - SCFI - US East has a current value of 3033, a previous value of 2846, and a growth rate of 6.57% [4]. - SCFI - Northwest Europe has a current value of 1690, a previous value of 1533, and a growth rate of 10.24% [4]. - One - day data of other indices: - SCFIS - Northwest Europe has a current value of 1795, a previous value of 1742, and a growth rate of 3.04% [4]. - SCFI - Mediterranean has a current value of 3143, a previous value of 2833, and a growth rate of 10.94% [4]. Group 3: Spot Price and Market Analysis - Market overview: The market is in a downward trend. The current European line freight rates are in a high - level shock. The quotes of each alliance in the middle and late ten - day period are generally higher than those in the early ten - day period. The OA alliance has the highest overall freight rate level, and the individual quote increase of MSC is significant [5]. - Freight rates of different alliances: - GEMINI Alliance: In wk1 (12/29 - 1/4), 20GP is 1585, 40GP is 2550; in wk2 (1/5 - 1/12), the prices are the same as wk1; in wk3 (1/13 - 1/20), 20GP is 1635, 40GP is 2650, with an increase of 50 and 100 respectively compared to wk1 [5]. - OA Alliance: In wk1 (12/20 - 1/4), 20GP is 1535, 40GP is 2631; in wk2 (1/5 - 1/12), 20GP is 1824, 40GP is 3068, with a significant increase compared to wk1; in wk3 (1/13 - 1/20), the prices are the same as wk2 [5]. - PA Alliance: In wk1 (12/29 - 1/4), 20GP is 1603, 40GP is 2806; in wk2 (1/5 - 1/12), 20GP is 1645, 40GP is 2600; in wk3 (1/13 - 1/20), the prices are the same as wk2 [5]. - MSC: In wk1 (12/29 - 1/4), 20GP is 1700, 40GP is 2840; in wk2 (1/5 - 1/12), the prices are the same as wk1; in wk3 (1/13 - 1/20), 20GP is 1880, 40GP is 3140, with an increase of 180 and 300 respectively compared to wk1 [6]. - Market logic: The SCFIS index is reported at 1795 points, showing a relatively strong shock pattern. Its trend is mainly restricted by the expected actual freight rates of liner companies in late January. The current main contract fluctuates violently and lacks a one - way trend, with high operation difficulty. The price fluctuates around the key central level of 1800 points. The upward and downward movements are affected by the alternation of the actual index and market sentiment. The market may still be in a relatively strong shock state [6].