Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company's A-shares and initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for its H-shares [6]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in marine energy development, contributing significantly to the construction of a maritime power. It has established a comprehensive marine energy development system, including conventional oil and gas, deepwater oil and gas, LNG, and offshore wind power [1][25]. - The company's financial performance has shown resilience during oil price downturns, with significant improvements in free cash flow and a commitment to high dividend payouts, enhancing its investment value [2][4]. - The company has achieved rapid growth in oil and gas production, with a cost advantage that remains solid. Future production growth is expected to stabilize, with a focus on both oil and gas [3][66]. Summary by Sections Marine Energy Development - The company is recognized as a national team in marine energy, actively participating in the construction of a maritime power as part of national strategy [1][16]. - The company aims to enhance energy self-sufficiency and has implemented a "seven-year action plan" for domestic oil and gas production [27]. Financial Performance - The company has demonstrated strong cash flow performance, with free cash flow exceeding 100 billion yuan from 2022 to 2023 and a significant reduction in interest-bearing debt ratio from 17% in 2021 to 6% in the first half of 2025 [2][42]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1354 billion, 1398 billion, and 1443 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.85, 2.94, and 3.04 yuan per share [4][5]. Production and Cost Efficiency - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.0% for crude oil production and 10.5% for natural gas from 2021 to 2024, with future production targets indicating stable growth [3][66]. - The company's main cost per barrel is projected to be 27.35 USD, showcasing a competitive edge compared to domestic and international peers [3][66]. ESG and Green Energy Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing green energy projects, including offshore wind power and carbon capture and storage (CCUS), while maintaining a strong ESG governance framework [3][30]. - The company has committed to a high dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027, reflecting its focus on returning value to shareholders [4][49].
中国海油(600938):动态跟踪报告:践行增量降本之路,油气巨头助力建设海洋强国