中国消费的“K型分化”:“该省省、该花花”
Soochow Securities·2026-01-08 12:55

Group 1: Key Insights on "K-Shaped Consumption" - China's consumption market is experiencing a "K-shaped differentiation," characterized by high-end quality consumption on one end and high cost-performance consumption on the other[1] - The shift in consumer behavior reflects a growing emphasis on emotional value alongside practical value, moving away from a purely utilitarian perspective[1] - High-end luxury consumption is seeing significant growth, with Beijing SKP achieving a record revenue of 26.5 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.5%[13] Group 2: Factors Driving "K-Shaped Differentiation" - The change in consumer ideology is driven by generational shifts and macro policies that increasingly focus on "investing in people" rather than just material goods[3] - The Z generation and younger elderly populations are becoming the main consumer force, prioritizing emotional satisfaction over mere functionality in their purchasing decisions[23] - Retailers are adapting to this differentiation by offering both high-end and low-cost products, as seen with brands like Xiaomi and BYD, which cater to both ends of the market[21] Group 3: Implications and Risks - The "K-shaped differentiation" is reshaping the underlying logic of China's consumption market, influencing regional economic growth and industrial structure adjustments[11] - Risks include potential delays in supportive policies for new consumption, exacerbated impacts from real estate adjustments, and slowing growth in household income affecting overall consumption[36]