锡：高位松动

Report Summary 1. Report Date and Title - Date: January 9, 2026; Title: "Tin: Loosening at High Levels" [1] 2. Analysts and Contact Information - Analyst: Liu Yuxuan (Investment Consulting Qualification No.: Z0020476, Email: liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com); Contact: Tang Wenhao (Futures Qualification No.: F03152608, Email: tangwenhao@gtht.com) [2] 3. Fundamental Tracking Futures - Prices: Shanghai Tin main contract closed at 349,640 yuan with a -2.62% daily increase and 347,430 yuan at night with a -1.53% increase; LME Tin 3M electronic disk closed at 43,675 with a -2.18% daily increase [2] - Trading Volume and Open Interest: Shanghai Tin main contract had 400,445 trades (-59,464 compared to the previous day) and 38,798 open interests (-5,171); LME Tin 3M electronic disk had 1,065 trades (43 more) and 660 open interests (371 more) [2] - Inventory: Shanghai Tin inventory was 6,788 (8 more); LME Tin inventory was 5,405 (unchanged), and the cancellation warrant ratio was 6.57% (-0.38%) [2] Spot and Price Difference - Spot Prices: SMM 1 tin ingot price was 355,050 yuan (-900 compared to the previous day); Yangtze River Non - Ferrous 1 tin average price was 352,900 yuan (-4,400) [2] - Price Differences: LME Tin (spot/three - month) spread was -52 (13 more); the spread between the near - month contract and the first - continuous contract was 153,860 (unchanged); the spread between spot and the futures main contract was -6,150 (-14,630) [2] Industrial Chain Key Price Data - 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) price was 343,050 yuan (-900); 60% tin concentrate (Guangxi) price was 347,050 yuan (-900); 63A solder bar price was 236,750 yuan (-500); 60A solder bar price was 226,750 yuan (-500) [2] 4. Macro and Industry News - Trump hopes to visit Venezuela; the Fed reported that the one - year inflation expectation in the US rose to 3.42% (previous value: 3.2%); the Russian Foreign Ministry said that the "Volunteer Alliance" and Ukraine are the "war axis"; the World Gold Council reported that global gold ETFs set a record high in annual capital inflows in 2025 [2][4] 5. Trend Intensity - Tin trend intensity is 0, with the range of [-2, 2] representing different views from most bearish (-2) to most bullish (2) [3]