宏观日报:中游开工小幅回升-20260109
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2026-01-09 02:41

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoint - Mid - stream construction starts have slightly increased. Upstream energy prices show a mixed trend with a slight decline in international crude oil and rising prices of certain non - ferrous metals. Mid - stream chemical and energy sectors see positive indicators, and downstream real estate and service industries show signs of recovery [1][3][4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs A. Mid - stream and Upstream Industry Events - Production Industry - On January 8, Sinopec Group and China National Aviation Fuel Group were approved to restructure, which is expected to enhance the resilience of the aviation kerosene industry chain and improve competitiveness [1] - Four government departments held a symposium on the power and energy - storage battery industry to regulate competition order due to issues like blind construction and low - price competition [1] - Service Industry - OpenAI launched ChatGPT Health on January 8, indicating a large demand in the medical and health market as over 230 million people globally ask health - related questions weekly [2] B. Industry Overview - Upstream - Energy: International crude oil prices have slightly declined [3] - Non - ferrous Metals: Aluminum and nickel prices are rising [3] - Mid - stream - Chemical: PX and urea operating rates are at high levels [4] - Energy: Coal consumption of power plants has increased [4] - Infrastructure: Road asphalt construction starts are at a high level compared to the same period [4] - Downstream - Real Estate: The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities have increased [4] - Service: The number of domestic flights has increased [4] C. Key Industry Price Indicators | Industry | Indicator | Price (as of 1/8) | YoY Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Corn (spot price) | 2248.6 yuan/ton | 0.00% | | | Eggs (spot price) | 6.7 yuan/kg | 3.89% | | | Palm oil (spot price) | 8600.0 yuan/ton | 1.42% | | | Cotton (spot price) | 15995.0 yuan/ton | 2.51% | | | Pork (average wholesale price) | 17.9 yuan/kg | 0.73% | | | Copper (spot price) | 102418.3 yuan/ton | 4.86% | | | Zinc (spot price) | 24158.0 yuan/ton | 3.79% | | Non - ferrous Metals | Aluminum (spot price) | 24031.7 yuan/ton | 8.28% | | | Nickel (spot price) | 149350.0 yuan/ton | 8.43% | | | Aluminum (spot price) | 17400.0 yuan/ton | 1.05% | | Ferrous Metals | Rebar (spot price) | 3255.0 yuan/ton | 0.55% | | | Iron ore (spot price) | 834.4 yuan/ton | 1.24% | | | Wire rod (spot price) | 3500.0 yuan/ton | 0.07% | | | Glass (spot price) | 12.8 yuan/sq.m | 0.63% | | Non - Metals | Natural rubber (spot price) | 15850.0 yuan/ton | 1.77% | | | China Plastics City Price Index | 756.3 | 0.48% | | Energy | WTI crude oil (spot price) | 56.0 dollars/barrel | - 3.38% | | | Brent crude oil (spot price) | 60.0 dollars/barrel | - 2.23% | | | Liquefied natural gas (spot price) | 3256.0 yuan/ton | - 1.39% | | | Coal price | 796.0 yuan/ton | - 0.25% | | | PTA (spot price) | 5089.3 yuan/ton | 0.13% | | Chemical | Polyethylene (spot price) | 6573.3 yuan/ton | 2.47% | | | Urea (spot price) | 1730.0 yuan/ton | 0.29% | | | Soda ash (spot price) | 1218.6 yuan/ton | - 0.58% | | | National cement price index | 135.6 | - 0.04% | | Real Estate | Building materials composite index | 116.3 points | 0.63% | | | National concrete price index | 90.4 points | 0.00% | [39]

宏观日报:中游开工小幅回升-20260109 - Reportify