液化石油气日报：现货持稳运行，市场驱动有限-20260109

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Neutral, short - term wait - and - see [2] - Inter - period: None [2] - Inter - variety: None [2] - Futures - spot: None [2] - Options: None [2] Group 2: Core View of the Report - The current LPG market shows a pattern of "strong overseas and weak domestic". Although overseas supply has tightened marginally recently and the external market price is relatively firm, the domestic market's reaction is limited. The inversion of the price of ether - after carbon four and civil gas suppresses the PG market. In the short - term, the fundamentals of LPG have both positive and negative factors. In the medium - term, the overseas supply growth trend continues, and the global supply - demand balance is expected to be oversupplied, with resistance to upward price movement. The escalation of the geopolitical situation is worthy of attention [1] Group 3: Market Analysis Summary - On January 8, the regional prices were as follows: Shandong market, 4380 - 4460; Northeast market, 3890 - 4150; North China market, 4130 - 4420; East China market, 4300 - 4500; Yangtze River market, 4780 - 4950; Northwest market, 4200 - 4350; South China market, 4800 - 4950 [1] - In the first half of February 2026, the CIF price of frozen propane in East China, China was 593 US dollars/ton, down 3 US dollars/ton, and butane was 588 US dollars/ton, down 3 US dollars/ton. In RMB, propane was 4582 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton, and butane was 4543 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton. In South China, the CIF price of frozen propane was 586 US dollars/ton, down 3 US dollars/ton, and butane was 581 US dollars/ton, down 3 US dollars/ton. In RMB, propane was 4528 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton, and butane was 4489 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton [1] - The domestic LPG spot price remained stable overall yesterday, with a slight decline in Shandong civil gas. The East China LPG market was mainly stable, with fair downstream purchasing enthusiasm, moderate trading, limited current demand, general purchasing motivation of industry players, and strong market wait - and - see sentiment [1]