第一创业晨会纪要-20260109
First Capital Securities·2026-01-09 07:00

Group 1: Engineering Machinery Industry - In December 2025, sales of various excavators reached 23,095 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with domestic sales of 10,331 units (up 10.9%) and exports of 12,764 units (up 26.9%) [4] - Sales of various loaders in December 2025 totaled 12,236 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30%, with domestic sales of 5,291 units (up 17.6%) and exports of 6,945 units (up 41.5%) [4] - For the entire year of 2025, a total of 235,257 excavators were sold, marking a 17% increase year-on-year, while 116,739 units were exported (up 16.1%). Additionally, 128,067 loaders were sold, representing an 18.4% increase, with exports of 61,737 units (up 14.6%) [4] Group 2: Wind Power Industry - The wind turbine industry is expected to enter an upward profitability cycle starting in 2026, driven by significant domestic sales and improving profit margins [6] - The total delivery volume for wind turbines in 2026 is projected to exceed 160 GW, with domestic tenders accounting for approximately 150 GW and overseas orders nearing 40 GW [6] - Major manufacturers are expected to increase wind turbine prices by over 10%, leading to an anticipated profit margin improvement of more than 5% [6] Group 3: Lithium Battery Industry - In 2025, over 282 investment projects across the entire lithium battery industry chain were publicly announced, with a total investment exceeding 820 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of over 74% [7] - The lithium battery sector is expected to see a continuous improvement in supply-demand dynamics in 2026, with high-quality production capacity likely to experience a supply shortage [7] - The market for gallium arsenide in aerospace applications is projected to reach 425 million USD by 2024, indicating significant growth potential in this segment [7] Group 4: Poultry Industry - The H5N1 avian influenza outbreak in France has significantly impacted the domestic white feather chicken industry, leading to a supply shortage due to import restrictions [9] - The price of parent stock chicken has risen to 55-57 yuan per set in January 2026, driven by reduced supply from the upstream breeding segment [9] - The overall reduction in chicken supply is expected to drive up prices for live chickens and chicken products, benefiting integrated enterprises that can better manage cost fluctuations [9] Group 5: Pet Medical Services - Ruipai Pet has submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise funds for store expansion, talent development, and digital transformation [10] - The company has achieved profitability in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 15.54 million yuan, making it the only profitable large chain pet hospital in the country [11] - The pet medical sector is characterized by a low degree of chain integration, with Ruipai Pet and New Ruipeng emerging as the two leading players in the market [11]