格林期货早盘提示：铜-20260109

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the copper in the non - ferrous sector is "Bearish - biased" [1] 2. Core View of the Report - The current upward trend of copper prices is mainly due to concerns about potential US tariffs on refined copper, leading to a concentration of global copper liquidity in the US. Additionally, the market's increased expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut is beneficial for metals with strong financial attributes like copper. However, considering factors such as the ongoing strike at a Chilean copper mine and new domestic resource discoveries, the overall investment recommendation for copper is bearish - biased [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Quotes - The night - session closing price of the main Shanghai copper contract CU2602 was 100,230 yuan/ton, down 1.76% from the previous night - session close. The night - session closing price of the secondary main contract CU2603 was 100,340 yuan/ton, down 1.83%. As of 06:00 Beijing time, the closing price of the main COMEX copper contract was equivalent to 89,352 yuan/ton (after exchange - rate conversion), down 0.79% from the previous trading day. The LME copper main contract CA03ME closed at 12,702 dollars/ton (equivalent to 88,669 yuan/ton after exchange - rate conversion), down 1.53% [1] Important Information - On January 8, according to Wenhua Finance, Chile's central bank data showed that Chile's copper export revenue in December was 5.83 billion dollars, a year - on - year increase of 26.3%. - On January 8, according to Gelonghui, the strike at the Mantoverde copper mine in northern Chile continued, with the concentrator operating at only 30% of its normal capacity and its inventory of supplies likely to be exhausted in a few days. - On January 7, according to the official website of the Ministry of Natural Resources, during the 14th Five - Year Plan period, China's new round of mineral exploration breakthrough strategy discovered 10 large oil fields, 19 large gas fields, and significantly increased the resource reserves of uranium, copper, gold, lithium, and potash. - On January 7, according to Cailian Press, Citi said that driven by strong momentum, copper prices would reach 14,000 dollars per ton in the next three months, but without new catalytic factors, copper prices might peak this month [1] Market Logic - The current copper price increase is due to concerns about US tariffs on refined copper, causing LME copper inventory in Europe to decline from nearly 70,000 tons in April to less than 15,000 tons, while COMEX copper inventory has risen from less than 100,000 short tons in April to over 450,000 short tons. Also, Trump's statement about the Fed chair and the market's increased expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut are beneficial for metals with strong financial attributes [1] Trading Strategy - No trading strategy is provided for now [1]