Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The lithium battery industry is expected to maintain optimistic demand outlook for 2026, despite a decrease in pre-production for January [45] - The recent implementation of the "2026 Automobile Trade-in Subsidy Implementation Details" is anticipated to stabilize market expectations and stimulate the expansion of the new energy vehicle market [45] - The solid-state battery technology is progressing, with the first solid-state battery pack successfully installed in a vehicle, indicating a shift from laboratory validation to real vehicle testing [45] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of January 8, 2026, the lithium battery index has decreased by 0.85% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.90 percentage points [12] - The lithium battery index has increased by 0.97% month-to-date, also underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.36 percentage points [12] Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Supply Chain - As of January 8, 2026, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 138,600 CNY/ton, up 19.38% over the past two weeks [25] - The price of lithium hydroxide (LiOH 56.5%) is 136,700 CNY/ton, increasing by 33.24% in the same period [25] - The price of lithium iron phosphate is 47,100 CNY/ton, up 11.88% [28] - The price of hexafluorophosphate lithium has decreased by 12.5% to 157,500 CNY/ton [31] Industry News - The first solid-state battery pack developed by Hongqi has been successfully installed in the Hongqi Tian Gong 06 model, marking a significant milestone in solid-state battery technology [40] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have issued guidelines for the 2026 automobile trade-in subsidy, which is expected to stimulate the new energy vehicle market [40] Company Announcements - Companies like Ningde Times and Tianqi Lithium have announced plans for production adjustments and expansions, indicating ongoing developments in the lithium battery supply chain [42][46]
锂电池产业链双周报(2025、12、26-2026、01、08):1月锂电产业链预排产环比有所下降-20260109