两重两新提前批下达，费率新规正式稿落地：政策双周报（1222-0109）-20260109

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2026, "Two Major" projects and "Two New" funds are being gradually allocated, with the scale of the first batch of "Two New" funds narrowing compared to 2025, and the government is promoting economic development through various policies [1][12]. - Fiscal policy maintains an active stance in 2026, ensuring necessary expenditure intensity and increasing the issuance scale of key - term treasury bonds [2]. - Monetary policy aims to achieve an "integrated effect" of incremental and existing policies, with the central bank net - buying treasury bonds and focusing on expanding domestic demand and technological innovation in 2026 [3]. - Financial regulatory authorities have issued formal regulations on fees, relaxed bank EVE indicators, and are exploring innovative financial products [4]. - Real estate policies aim to stabilize the market, with measures such as reducing VAT on second - hand housing transactions and optimizing purchase restrictions in Beijing [5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Macro - economic Tone - The dates for the 2026 National Two Sessions have been announced. The Fourth Session of the 14th National People's Congress will be held on March 5, 2026, and the Fourth Session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference will be held on March 4, 2026 [11]. - The first batch of 62.5 billion yuan in ultra - long - term special treasury bonds to support consumer goods replacement has been pre - allocated to local areas in 2026, with a smaller scale than in 2025. The policy focuses on optimizing fund allocation and advancing ahead of schedule [12]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated a 295 - billion - yuan pre - approved project list for 2026, including about 220 billion yuan for "Two Major" construction projects and over 75 billion yuan for central budgetary investment [13]. 3.2 Fiscal Policy - In 2026, fiscal policy remains actively oriented, aiming to expand fiscal expenditure, optimize the combination of government bond tools, enhance transfer payment efficiency, and strengthen fiscal - financial coordination [17]. - Seven provinces have repaid 3.342 billion yuan of illegally added government implicit debts, nine regions' state - owned enterprises have returned 1.848 billion yuan of misappropriated agricultural loans, and two provinces and two regions have substantially resolved 170 million yuan of government debts [18]. - In January 2026, the issuance scale of key - term treasury bonds increased compared to the same period last year, with front - loaded policy implementation [19]. 3.3 Monetary Policy - The fourth - quarter monetary policy meeting proposed to achieve an "integrated effect" of incremental and existing policies, and the central bank will continue to deepen interest rate liberalization reform [22]. - The National Foreign Exchange Administration will deepen foreign exchange facilitation reforms and support financial institutions in developing simple and useful exchange - rate hedging products [23]. - In December 2025, the central bank net - bought 50 billion yuan of treasury bonds. Since October 2025, the central bank has restarted bond - buying operations, with purchase amounts of 20 billion yuan, 50 billion yuan, and 50 billion yuan in October, November, and December respectively [3]. - In 2026, monetary policy will focus on expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and other fields, and its growth rate is expected to exceed that of the total social financing scale [25]. 3.4 Financial Supervision - The formal regulations on fund fees have been issued, and regulators are researching and exploring innovative products such as REITs ETFs [28]. - Regulatory authorities have revised the interest - rate shock amplitude parameters for banks [29]. - Regulators have consulted wealth - management companies on obstacles to A - share investment and policy expectations, and many banks have reduced wealth - management management fees to 0% [29]. - The regulatory authority has issued a notice on bond transaction record - keeping to strengthen supervision [30]. 3.5 Real Estate Policy - The government aims to stabilize the real estate market, control increments, reduce inventories, optimize supply, improve housing quality, and reduce VAT on second - hand housing transactions [33]. - Beijing has further optimized purchase - restriction policies, including relaxing requirements for non - Beijing households and supporting multi - child families [34]. - Vanke's proposal to extend the grace period for a 3.7 - billion - yuan bond was passed, but other extension proposals were not approved [34]. - An article in Qiushi magazine holds a positive view on future real estate policy space [35].