FOF基金：2025年度策略回顾与2026年度策略展望

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - In 2025, the scale of FOF funds rebounded against the trend, with the cumulative scale exceeding that at the end of 2021. The performance of all FOF achieved positive returns, and high - performing FOF continued the passive investment trend and some emphasized multi - asset allocation. FOF showed a preference for equity and other risk assets and continued to strengthen passive investment in Q3 2025. The scale of personal pension funds maintained a high growth rate. Customized FOF, such as the Changying Plan and Longying FOF, focused on multi - asset allocation. In 2026, FOF products with multi - asset and multi - strategy allocation capabilities have broad development prospects [1]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Scale Dimension: Which Type of FOF Funds Does the Market Pay More Attention to? - Overall Scale Recovery: In 2025, the number of new FOF funds increased to 93 from 38 in the previous year, and 43 FOF funds were liquidated. The total scale of FOF reached 238.376 billion yuan, an increase of 105.226 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024. The new - issue scale was 84.5 billion yuan, and the continuous - operation scale increased by about 20.696 billion yuan, ending three consecutive years of decline [9]. - Outstanding New - issue Institutions: Products托管 by China Merchants Bank were prominent in terms of scale and quantity, with a new - issue scale exceeding 40 billion yuan. Fund companies such as Fullgoal Fund, Orient Securities Asset Management, and Ping An Fund had new - issue scales exceeding 5 billion yuan [11]. - Popularity of Changying Plan - Related FOF: FOF products with large net subscriptions in 2025 were mostly bond - type FOF and fixed - income + FOF. The top 5 funds in net subscriptions were all from the Changying Plan. The top 10 funds in new - issue scale were mostly fixed - income + FOF or bond - type FOF, and 8 of them were托管 by China Merchants Bank [13]. - Changes in Fund Company Scale: In 2025, the scale of most leading fund managers increased, and the scale ranking changed significantly. Fullgoal Fund and E Fund's scale increased by over 10 billion yuan. Leading fund managers showed two layout characteristics: balanced layout in multiple types of FOF or specialization in a single track [16]. 3.2 Performance Dimension: High - performing FOF Continued the Passive Investment Trend, and Some Emphasized Multi - asset Allocation - Positive Returns in 2025: In 2025, all FOF achieved positive returns. The performance was positively correlated with the position, and equity - type FOF performed best with a median return of 25.25%, while bond - type FOF was relatively weak with a median return of 2.70%. Two FOF products exceeded 10 billion yuan in scale [20][21]. - Investment Characteristics of High - performing FOF: High - performing bond - type FOF generally allocated multi - assets such as commodities; high - performing fixed - income + FOF obtained returns from both fixed - income + and stock funds while having multi - asset allocation features; high - performing balanced - type FOF mainly adopted passive investment and focused on ETFs with themes of gold, TMT, and new energy; high - performing equity - type FOF further strengthened the theme concentration [25]. - Outstanding Performance of Cathay Fund's FOF Team: In 2025, Cathay Fund's FOF team performed outstandingly in various types of FOF, including bond - type, fixed - income +, balanced - type, and equity - type FOF [30]. 3.3 Investment Characteristics: The Allocation Ratio of A - share Equities Such as Active Equities Increased, and the Increase in Holdings in Q3 25 Showed a Preference for Technology and Advanced Manufacturing - Multi - asset Allocation of Leading Managers: Leading managers generally attached importance to multi - asset allocation, with different investment directions. Some focused on QDII stocks, some on mutual - recognition funds, and some on commodities [38]. - Overall Market Characteristics: In Q3 2025, FOF decreased the holding ratio of pure - bond funds and increased the attention to active and passive equity funds, showing a preference for risk assets and strengthening passive investment. The heavy - position funds showed a preference for A - share technology and advanced manufacturing assets [40]. 3.4 Personal Pension Funds: The Total Y - share Amounted to 1.2817 Billion Yuan As of Q3 2025, the scale of personal pension funds reached 1.2817 billion yuan, an increase of 1.983 billion yuan compared to Q2 25 and 3.99 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024. Pension target date funds were more popular, with a current scale of 7.803 billion yuan [49]. 3.5 Customized FOF: Changying Plan & Longying FOF - Changying Plan: Established in early 2025, the included products are all positioned as multi - asset allocation FOF, with different levels corresponding to different return and risk targets. The products in the plan met the return and risk requirements in 2025, with relatively low maximum drawdown rates and prominent risk - return ratios. Other new - issue FOF products托管 by China Merchants Bank also had similar multi - asset allocation characteristics [59][68]. - Longying FOF: Established in early 2026, initially only including multi - asset allocation FOF, and will expand to ETF - FOF and global investment FOF in the future. The included products mostly met the return/withdrawal limits in 2025 and had multi - asset allocation characteristics, with a greater focus on overseas investment [77][82]. - Other Multi - asset Allocation FOF: Some products, such as Orient Securities Pension and Zhongtai Tianze, have adhered to multi - asset allocation for a long time and achieved excellent performance in 2025. More than half of the new - issue FOF in 2025 emphasized multi - asset allocation in their performance comparison benchmarks [88][93]. - Investment Strategy for 2026 FOF Funds: FOF can achieve diversified investment through multi - asset allocation, improve the risk - return ratio of the investment portfolio, and create differentiated investment targets. Low - volatility FOF products represented by bond - type and fixed - income + have been favored by funds in recent years, and the development of multi - asset allocation FOF remains an important direction in the future [95].