Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry [4] Core Insights - The civil aviation sector is expected to continue addressing "involutionary competition" while focusing on "expanding domestic demand" and "countering involution," indicating a positive long-term outlook for the aviation sector [2][11] - The shipping market is experiencing a recovery in VLCC freight rates due to geopolitical risks, with some shipowners becoming optimistic about future market conditions [2][12] - The logistics sector shows promising growth in express delivery, particularly in overseas markets, with significant increases in package volumes reported [3][15] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights and Market Review - The transportation sector index rose by 0.23% from January 5 to January 9, 2026, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.59 percentage points [1][17] - The top-performing segments included highway freight, public transport, and warehousing logistics, with increases of 4.90%, 2.34%, and 2.16% respectively [1][17] Aviation - The civil aviation sector is seeing a recovery in demand, with a focus on maintaining low growth in capacity supply and improving airline profitability as ticket prices stabilize [11] - Key stocks to watch include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [11] Shipping and Ports - VLCC freight rates have begun to rise, with the CT1 route rate reaching $54,455 per day as of January 9, 2026 [2][12] - The dry bulk shipping market is facing downward pressure, with the BDI index at 1,688 points as of January 9, 2026 [13][14] Logistics - The express delivery sector is expected to grow, with a focus on overseas expansion and the impact of e-commerce growth on delivery volumes [3][15] - The report highlights the performance of Jitu Express, which saw a 73.6% increase in package volume in Southeast Asia for Q4 2025 [15][16]
民航继续整治过低票价,继续重视油运布局
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2026-01-11 05:23