2025年12月通胀点评：内需趋稳，助力核心通胀平稳收官

Inflation Overview - November CPI and core CPI year-on-year were 0.8% and 1.2% respectively, indicating a stable upward trend[5] - December food CPI year-on-year increased from 0.2% to 1.1%, primarily due to adverse weather affecting supply[5] Core CPI Insights - Core CPI remains stable, suggesting a decrease in economic downturn risks; December industrial consumer goods prices (excluding energy) rose by 2.5% year-on-year, marking an expansion for eight consecutive months[5] - Prices for household appliances and automobiles are recovering, with household appliances CPI year-on-year growth increasing to 5.9%[5] PPI Trends - December PPI year-on-year decline narrowed, supported by supply-side policy effects and a gradual recovery in domestic demand[5] - Life goods PPI year-on-year was -1.3%, with prices for cultural and quality goods rebounding due to consumption initiatives[5] Consumer Behavior - Tourism CPI in December maintained a high year-on-year growth of 2.1%, indicating resilience in service consumption[5] - The overall inflation data signals a positive trend in market conditions, reflecting improvements in consumer sentiment and spending[5] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected fluctuations in commodity prices due to geopolitical conflicts[5]