机械行业研究:看好商业航天、机器人、核聚变、船舶和工程机械
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2026-01-11 05:53

Investment Rating - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 5.39% during the week of January 5 to January 9, 2026, ranking 10th among 31 primary industry categories [12][14]. Core Insights - The report anticipates a significant increase in domestic rocket launches in 2026, driven by the urgent demand for satellite deployment [21]. - The robotics sector is expected to experience a strong market trend in Q1 2026, with advancements in humanoid robots [21]. - The nuclear fusion energy sector is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with significant technological breakthroughs reported [22]. - The global shipbuilding industry is showing signs of recovery, with new ship prices increasing and order volumes significantly improving [31]. - The engineering machinery sector is entering an upward cycle, with robust domestic and export sales of excavators and loaders [35]. - The report indicates varying degrees of industry performance, with general machinery under pressure, while engineering machinery and railway equipment show positive trends [46][45]. Summary by Sections 1. Stock Portfolio - Recommended stocks include Chaojie Co., Feiwo Technology, Guanglian Aviation, Hengli Hydraulic, Lianchuang Optoelectronics, XCMG, SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and China Shipbuilding [10]. 2. Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index rose by 5.39% in the first week of 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which increased by 2.79% [12][14]. 3. Key Data Tracking 3.1 General Machinery - The manufacturing PMI was reported at 50.1% in December, indicating a slight recovery [23]. 3.2 Engineering Machinery - Excavator sales reached 23,095 units in December, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.6% [35]. 3.3 Railway Equipment - Railway fixed asset investment has maintained a steady growth rate of around 6% since 2025 [45]. 3.4 Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 184.65 in December, with a month-on-month increase of 0.17% [46]. 3.5 Oil Service Equipment - The oil service equipment sector is stabilizing, with high demand in the Middle East [49]. 3.6 Industrial Gases - A decrease in raw material prices is expected to improve profitability in the steel sector, boosting demand for industrial gases [55]. 3.7 Gas Turbines - GEV's new gas turbine orders grew by 39% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a robust market [57].