基础化工行业周报:中国石化与中国航油实施重组,尿素市场迎开门红-20260111
Huafu Securities·2026-01-11 08:51

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the basic chemical industry, highlighting strong performance in various sub-sectors and suggesting potential investment opportunities in specific companies [3][4][5]. Core Insights - The restructuring of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) and China Aviation Oil (China National Aviation Fuel) is a significant development, marking the first major state-owned enterprise restructuring in 2026, which is expected to enhance the production and application of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) [3]. - The domestic urea market has shown signs of recovery, with prices rising to over 1700 RMB per ton, a 9% increase from the lowest point in October 2025, driven by steady demand and reduced supply [3][4]. - The report identifies several investment themes, including the competitiveness of domestic tire manufacturers, the potential recovery in consumer electronics, and the resilience of certain cyclical industries [4][5][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.82%, the ChiNext Index by 3.89%, and the CSI 300 Index by 2.79%. The CITIC Basic Chemical Index increased by 5.39%, and the Shenwan Chemical Index by 5.03% [13][16]. - The top-performing sub-sectors included rubber additives (17.27%), electronic chemicals (15.08%), and modified plastics (9.87%) [16]. Key Industry Dynamics - Sinopec and China Aviation Oil's restructuring aims to streamline operations and enhance the production of SAF, positioning the companies for future growth in a low-carbon economy [3]. - The urea market is expected to continue its upward trend, with a forecast for moderate price increases in the near future due to favorable supply-demand dynamics [3][4]. Investment Themes - Tire Industry: Domestic tire manufacturers are becoming increasingly competitive, with recommended stocks including Sailun Tire, Senqcia, General Tire, and Linglong Tire [4]. - Consumer Electronics: A gradual recovery in consumer electronics is anticipated, with upstream material companies expected to benefit. Recommended stocks include Dongcai Technology, Stik, Lite-On Optoelectronics, and Ruian New Materials [4]. - Cyclical Industries: Focus on industries with strong resilience and inventory destocking, particularly in phosphate and fluorine chemicals, as well as polyester filament [5][7]. - Vitamin Supply: Attention is drawn to vitamin products due to supply disruptions from BASF, which may lead to market imbalances [7].

基础化工行业周报:中国石化与中国航油实施重组,尿素市场迎开门红-20260111 - Reportify