Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Views - The construction materials sector saw a 1.89% increase from January 5 to January 9, 2026, with cement up 1.62%, glass manufacturing up 3.10%, fiberglass manufacturing up 0.75%, and renovation materials up 2.57% [13] - The People's Bank of China emphasized promoting high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery as key monetary policy considerations [13] - Local government bond issuance decreased significantly in December 2025, indicating potential easing of fiscal pressure and opportunities for municipal engineering projects [13] - The supply-demand imbalance in float glass is expected to ease due to self-regulated production cuts by photovoltaic glass manufacturers [13] - The cement industry is experiencing a demand bottoming process, with increased efforts in staggered production halts [13] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of January 9, 2026, the national cement price index was 349.52 CNY/ton, down 0.58% week-on-week, with cement output at 2.7175 million tons, down 4.55% [2] - The capacity utilization rate for cement clinker kilns was 43.53%, up 5.1 percentage points from the previous week [2] - The overall recovery in cement demand is contingent on the rollout of funding for major infrastructure projects and stabilization in the real estate market [2] Glass Industry Tracking - As of January 8, 2026, the average price of float glass was 1121.92 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.06% week-on-week [3] - The inventory of raw glass in 13 provinces was 51.95 million weight boxes, down 183 thousand from the previous week [3] - The market is expected to see price fluctuations due to changes in supply-side dynamics [3] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The market for non-alkali fiberglass remained stable, with no significant changes in supply or demand [6] - The average price of electronic yarn G75 increased by 1.79% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in high-end product demand [6] Consumer Building Materials - The demand for consumer building materials continues to show signs of weak recovery, with fluctuations in upstream raw material prices [7] - The price of carbon fiber remained stable, with production costs slightly decreasing, although many companies are still operating at a loss [7] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Yao Pi Glass (Buy) with projected EPS growth from 0.12 CNY in 2024 to 0.27 CNY in 2027 [8] - Yinlong Co. (Buy) with projected EPS growth from 0.28 CNY in 2024 to 0.75 CNY in 2027 [8] - Puhua Co. (Buy) with projected EPS growth from 0.12 CNY in 2024 to 0.51 CNY in 2027 [8] - San Ke Tree (Buy) with projected EPS growth from 0.45 CNY in 2024 to 2.20 CNY in 2027 [8] - Beixin Building Materials (Buy) with projected EPS growth from 2.14 CNY in 2024 to 2.34 CNY in 2027 [8]
反内卷预期再起,关注后续供给侧积极变化