量化择时周报:情绪稳步修复,市场成交较上周显著放量-20260111
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-01-11 13:45

Group 1 - Market sentiment is steadily recovering, with the sentiment indicator reaching 1.6 as of January 9, up from 1.35 the previous week, indicating a bullish outlook from a sentiment perspective [8][12] - The average daily trading volume for the entire A-share market increased significantly by 34.00% week-on-week, reaching an average of 28,519.51 billion yuan, with January 9 marking a recent high of 31,523.68 billion yuan [16][19] - The industry score trends show that sectors such as pharmaceuticals, coal, real estate, media, and environmental protection have seen upward trends in short-term scores, with defense and military industries scoring the highest at 100 [41][42] Group 2 - The correlation between industry congestion and weekly price fluctuations is high at 0.37, indicating that sectors with high congestion, such as defense and petrochemicals, have experienced significant gains, while sectors like retail and non-bank financials, despite high congestion, have shown lower price increases [44][47] - The current model indicates a preference for small-cap and value styles, with the 5-day RSI relative to the 20-day RSI continuing to rise, suggesting potential for enhanced signals in the future [52]