化工行业周报20260111:国际原油、环氧丙烷价格上涨,聚合MDI价格下跌-20260112
Bank of China Securities·2026-01-12 01:05

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the benchmark index over the next 6-12 months [49]. Core Insights - The report suggests focusing on undervalued leading companies in the industry, the impact of "anti-involution" on the supply side of related sub-industries, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies amid strong downstream demand and price increases in certain new energy materials [3][12]. - The report highlights a mid-to-long-term investment theme where policy support is expected to lead to demand recovery, continuous optimization of the supply side, and potential dual improvements in performance and valuation for excellent leading enterprises [3][12]. - Emerging fields such as semiconductor materials, OLED materials, and new energy materials are identified as having significant growth potential due to rapid development in downstream industries [3][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of January 9, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemical sector is 27.07, at the 80.09 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 2.45, at the 67.22 percentile historically [3][12]. - The SW oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 13.49, at the 40.05 percentile historically, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.31, at the 42.27 percentile historically [3][12]. Price Changes and Market Performance - During the week of January 5-11, 34 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 31 experienced declines, and 35 remained stable. Overall, 49% of products had month-over-month price increases, while 41% saw decreases [9][30]. - The average price of WTI crude oil rose to $59.12 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 3.14%, while Brent crude oil reached $63.34 per barrel, up 4.26% [31][30]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Satellite Chemical, and others, with a focus on companies benefiting from policy support and strong demand in emerging sectors [3][12]. - The report identifies "golden stocks" for January as Wanhua Chemical and Yake Technology, emphasizing their potential for growth [3][12].

化工行业周报20260111:国际原油、环氧丙烷价格上涨,聚合MDI价格下跌-20260112 - Reportify