黄金:避险情绪回升白银:再探新高
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2026-01-12 01:50
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold: Safe - haven sentiment has rebounded [2][4]. - Silver: Re - testing new highs [2][4]. - Copper: Demand expectations are strengthening, leading to price increases [2][8]. - Zinc: Operating in a relatively strong manner [2][11]. - Lead: Reduced overseas inventories support prices [2][14]. - Tin: Oscillating and strengthening [2][16]. - Aluminum: The price center has significantly moved up; Alumina is driven by capital risk preference; Cast aluminum alloy follows the aluminum price [2][20]. - Platinum: ETF holdings are continuously flowing out, with range - bound oscillations [2][22]. - Palladium: After surging, it declined. Attention should be paid to the price transmission related to tariffs [2][22]. - Nickel: There is a game between industrial and secondary funds, with wide - range oscillations [2][26]. - Stainless steel: Ferronickel raises the oscillation center, and the market is speculating on Indonesian policies [2][27]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Gold and Silver - Price and Trading Volume: For gold, the closing price of Shanghai Gold 2602 was 1,006.48 with a daily increase of 0.86%, and the night - session closing price was 1008.54 with a 0.80% increase. For silver, the closing price of Shanghai Silver 2602 was 18757 with a 1.55% increase, and the night - session closing price was 19438.00 with a 6.19% increase [4]. - Inventory and ETF Holdings: The inventory of Shanghai Gold was 97,653 kg (unchanged), and the SPDR Gold ETF holdings decreased by 3 to 1,064.56. The inventory of Shanghai Silver decreased by 17385 kg to 620,262 kg, and the SLV Silver ETF holdings (the day before yesterday) increased by 93 to 16,308.48 [4]. - Macro and Industry News: US December non - farm payrolls were lower than expected, but the unemployment rate decreased. The January consumer confidence index reached a four - month high. Trump threatened Iran and was reported to have listened to military strike plans [4][6][7]. Copper - Price and Trading Volume: The closing price of the Shanghai Copper main contract was 101,410 with a 0.19% increase, and the night - session closing price was 102220 with a 0.80% increase. The London Copper 3M electronic - trading price increased by 2.07% to 12,966 [8]. - Inventory and Spread: The Shanghai Copper inventory increased by 2,531 tons to 111,216 tons, and the London Copper inventory decreased by 2,100 tons to 138,975 tons. The spread between Shanghai copper spot and LME cash decreased by 133 to - 977 [8]. - Macro and Industry News: The US January consumer confidence reached a four - month high. The Kamoa - Kakula copper smelter produced its first batch of anode copper, with an expected output of 380,000 - 420,000 tons of mineral copper in 2026 [8][10]. Zinc - Price and Trading Volume: The closing price of the Shanghai Zinc main contract was 23970 with a - 0.02% change, and the London Zinc 3M electronic - trading price increased by 0.57% to 3149 [11]. - Inventory and Spread: The Shanghai Zinc inventory decreased by 599 tons to 38874 tons, and the London Zinc inventory decreased by 550 tons to 107450 tons. The LME CASH - 3M spread increased by 7.5 to - 36.5 [11]. - News: Trump threatened Iran, and Canada was worried about US economic actions [12]. Lead - Price and Trading Volume: The closing price of the Shanghai Lead main contract was 17395 with a 0.35% increase, and the London Lead 3M electronic - trading price increased by 1.49% to 2046.5 [14]. - Inventory and Spread: The Shanghai Lead inventory increased by 2321 tons to 16188 tons, and the London Lead inventory decreased by 3725 tons to 222725 tons. The LME CASH - 3M spread decreased by 2.55 to - 44.05 [14]. - News: The US January consumer confidence reached a four - month high, and December non - farm payrolls were lower than expected [14]. Tin - Price and Trading Volume: The closing price of the Shanghai Tin main contract was 352,540 with a 0.83% increase, and the night - session closing price was 359,980 with a 3.15% increase. The London Tin 3M electronic - trading price increased by 4.64% to 45,700 [17]. - Inventory and Spread: The Shanghai Tin inventory decreased by 359 tons to 6,429 tons. The SMM 1 tin ingot price decreased by 5,300 to 349,750 [17]. - News: Trump threatened Iran, and the UK considered deploying troops in Greenland [19]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - Price and Trading Volume: The closing price of the Shanghai Aluminum main contract was 24330, and the night - session closing price was 24465. The closing price of the Shanghai Alumina main contract was 2843, and the night - session closing price was 2835 [20]. - Inventory and Spread: The LME aluminum inventory decreased by 0.19 million tons to 49.78 million tons. The domestic aluminum ingot social inventory remained unchanged at 71.80 million tons [20]. - News: There was a debate about AI, and countries were hoarding strategic materials [21]. Platinum and Palladium - Price and Trading Volume: The closing price of the Platinum 2606 futures was 599.80 with a 4.31% increase, and the Palladium 2606 futures price increased by 8.32% to 499.05 [22]. - Inventory and ETF Holdings: The NYMEX Platinum inventory (the day before yesterday) decreased by 260 ounces to 624,755 ounces. The Platinum ETF holdings (the day before yesterday) decreased by 14,775 ounces to 3,284,543 ounces [22]. - News: There were various geopolitical events such as the situation in Thailand, Israel - Gaza, and the UK's consideration of Greenland deployment [25]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - Price and Trading Volume: The closing price of the Shanghai Nickel main contract was 139,090, and the closing price of the stainless - steel main contract was 13,860 [27]. - Industry News: Indonesia suspended issuing new smelting licenses, and the Chinese government imposed export license management on some steel products [27][28].