期货技术分析周报:2026年第2周-20260112
Dong Zheng Qi Huo·2026-01-12 01:47

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The current market shows significant structural characteristics, with various futures varieties having different trends. It is recommended to manage positions based on specific signals [1][2] Summary by Directory 1. Non-ferrous and Precious Metals Sector - In the precious metals sector, gold and palladium show bullish signals, while other varieties are mainly oscillating. In the non-ferrous sector, lithium carbonate shows a bullish signal, and other varieties are mainly oscillating [1][8] - The medium- to long-term upward trend of Shanghai copper has not ended. Key indicators support the continuation of the trend, and short-term sharp corrections are less likely [12] 2. Black and Shipping Sector - Rebar and ferrosilicon show bearish signals, and other varieties are mainly oscillating. European container shipping shows a bearish signal [17][18] - Rebar prices are mainly in consolidation. Technical momentum is insufficient, and it is expected to continue to consolidate above the support range in the short term [21] 3. Energy and Chemical Sector - In the energy sector, fuel oil, low-sulfur fuel oil, crude oil, and LPG show bullish signals, and asphalt is mainly oscillating. In the chemical sector, pure benzene shows a bullish signal, synthetic rubber shows a bearish signal, and other varieties are mainly oscillating [26] - PTA is mainly oscillating, and attention should be paid to the risk of correction. The upper resistance is in the range of 5,300 - 5,500 yuan/ton [1][29] 4. Agricultural Products Sector - Soybean oil, palm oil, soybean meal, rapeseed oil, eggs, live pigs, and red dates show bullish signals. Rapeseed meal, cotton, logs, and peanuts show bearish signals, and other varieties are mainly oscillating [35][36] - Sugar prices should be noted for the risk of decline. In the long-term downward trend, short-term rebounds are difficult to fundamentally reverse the decline [1][40] 5. Stock Index Futures Sector - Shanghai 50 futures, CSI 300 futures, and CSI 500 futures all show bullish signals, while CSI 1000 futures are mainly oscillating [45] - CSI 500 futures maintain a short-term oscillating upward repair pattern, but attention should be paid to short-term shock/correction risks and position management [47] 6. Treasury Bond Futures Sector - 5-year and 30-year treasury bond futures are mainly oscillating, while 2-year and 10-year treasury bond futures mainly show bearish signals [52] - 10-year treasury bond futures are mainly oscillating, and attention should be paid to the risk of decline. The short-term support range is around 107.06 - 107.39, and the upper resistance range is between 108.5 - 108.7 [54]