美国低招聘+低裁员延续:环球市场动态
citic securities·2026-01-12 03:08

Market Overview - US non-farm payrolls for December were below expectations, with a decrease in unemployment rate to 4.4%[5] - The S&P 500 index reached a record high, closing at 6,966.3 points, up 0.6%[9] - European markets showed positive sentiment, with the Euro Stoxx 600 index rising by 1.0%[9] Commodity and Currency Insights - Oil prices increased significantly due to geopolitical uncertainties, with WTI crude oil rising to $59.12 per barrel, up 2.35%[25] - Gold prices surged above $4,500 per ounce, reflecting market concerns over geopolitical instability[25] - The US dollar index rose by 0.2%, closing at 99.13[24] Employment and Economic Indicators - The US added 58,400 non-farm jobs in 2025, significantly lower than the levels seen in 2023 and 2024[5] - The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for January reached its highest level in four months[5] Stock Market Performance - A-shares continued their strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.92% to 4,120.43 points[14] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.32%, closing at 26,231.79 points, with notable gains in materials and gold sectors[11] Investment Strategies - Alibaba's revenue for FY2026Q3 is expected to grow by approximately 4% to 290.2 billion yuan, with a focus on AI and cloud computing[8] - Chinese oil companies are expected to show resilience despite pressure from falling oil prices, with a projected 5% decrease in capital expenditure for 2026[11]